NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	9.4 [98]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +41.6%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	20.5 [66]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -38.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.11	-0.07	0.17	-0.00	11	50%	0.21	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Dan Langhi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	6	25%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.20	-0.02	-0.01	19	20%	-0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.25	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	23	41%	-0.16	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.42	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.01	12	76%	0.48	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.00	5	80%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	8	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.01	3	83%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	18	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.00	9	15%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	11	36%	-0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.38	-0.38	-0.13	-0.26	-0.01	16	38%	-0.29	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.7	28.5	16.0	24.2	2.7	36.0	133.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.7%

PHX -14.2%

TOR +47.2%

PHX -13.0%

TOR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	14.1	15.9	15.5	92.7	95.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.2		101.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		105.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.4	14.0	14.6	15.9	14.1
TOR	13.4	16.0	18.1	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	50	49	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.22	15	-18	33	14.0	14.2	-0.13	17.5	14.2	3.26
Dan Langhi	21	22	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.13	10	-13	23	14.1	14.1	0.05	19.1	14.9	4.14
Casey Jacobsen	50	50	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-12	21	14.3	13.8	0.49	16.5	15.2	1.30
Randy Brown	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-4	5	16.6	13.9	2.66	16.9	15.8	1.04
Tom Gugliotta	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	16.1	13.9	2.20	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Scott Williams	6	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	3	-9	12.7	14.2	-1.53	10.4	16.3	-5.90
Joe Johnson	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	8	-19	14.1	14.1	0.07	15.2	16.7	-1.49
Shawn Marion	81	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-1	-1	14.2	13.7	0.52	15.7	17.3	-1.63
Stephon Marbury	89	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	1	-5	13.9	16.6	-2.66	15.8	16.9	-1.04
Amar'e Stoudemire	47	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.27	-11	8	-19	13.9	14.3	-0.37	14.6	17.1	-2.43
Bo Outlaw	70	69	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.58	-14	11	-25	13.9	14.7	-0.86	15.7	16.4	-0.76

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	76	74	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.67	13	-10	23	15.6	17.2	-1.65	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Antonio Davis	70	72	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	-5	13	15.2	17.7	-2.41	14.1	14.2	-0.19
Alvin Williams	70	71	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-8	19	15.7	16.3	-0.56	14.5	13.1	1.38
Vince Carter	74	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-3	9	15.5	17.1	-1.55	14.7	11.9	2.82
Voshon Lenard	43	45	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.30	-9	12	-21	16.7	15.2	1.54	13.5	14.6	-1.16
Jerome Williams	68	65	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	4	-5	16.8	13.7	3.03	13.8	14.6	-0.80
Rafer Alston	26	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	11	-19	16.3	15.7	0.56	13.1	14.5	-1.38
Michael Bradley	27	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.11	0	3	-3	14.3	16.5	-2.28	15.4	13.5	1.88
Jelani McCoy	26	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	8	-13	17.7	15.2	2.41	14.2	14.1	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	90.4%
BOS 91, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.28,0.16,0.26,1	90.3%
SAS 96, POR 98	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.23,0.26,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.31,0.05,1	90.3%