NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	62		Excitement	2.2 [1240]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +16.7%
Detroit Pistons	93		Comeback	1.0 [1236]		LVP	Travis Best (MIA): -6.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Marks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	62%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	11	38%	-0.02	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Malik Allen	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.19	0.00	0.03	22	71%	0.17	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.05	4	85%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	6	29%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	5	30%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.09	3	12%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	29.3	16.0	27.3	2.2	25.7	129.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.8%

DET +7.4%

DET +7.7%

MIA -0.3%

DET +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DET	NBA	MIA	DET	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	15.5	71.3	106.9	101.6
season	16.3	16.8		94.6	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.9	17.7	16.9	15.0	16.8
DET	16.4	18.3	14.4	16.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	25	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.36	-13	-18	5	15.9	17.2	-1.31	14.2	17.0	-2.81
Sean Marks	32	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.41	-15	-16	1	16.5	17.0	-0.55	14.8	17.1	-2.30
LaPhonso Ellis	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-28	25	19.2	16.4	2.82	19.1	15.8	3.24
Vladimir Stepania	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-26	21	15.3	18.8	-3.50	16.3	16.2	0.10
Mike James	50	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.30	-15	-16	1	16.2	17.7	-1.54	15.9	16.8	-0.91
Rasual Butler	60	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.39	-21	-10	-11	15.7	19.3	-3.65	15.3	18.4	-3.16
Eddie House	44	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-24	17	17.0	16.6	0.46	17.8	14.6	3.23
Travis Best	29	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.14	-17	-14	-3	18.2	16.1	2.09	17.0	15.9	1.09
Malik Allen	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.23	-21	-10	-11	16.5	17.3	-0.88	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Brian Grant	36	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.15	-18	-13	-5	19.2	15.1	4.10	17.6	15.3	2.32
Caron Butler	47	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.14	-20	-11	-9	18.1	15.2	2.90	17.1	15.3	1.82

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	61	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.43	31	0	31	16.1	16.8	-0.74	17.3	15.7	1.59
Clifford Robinson	53	54	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.35	28	3	25	16.1	16.6	-0.54	17.9	15.1	2.83
Chauncey Billups	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	4	23	16.1	16.5	-0.44	18.2	15.3	2.91
Michael Curry	35	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.36	25	6	19	15.4	16.9	-1.44	18.5	15.7	2.76
Richard Hamilton	48	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.37	25	6	19	16.1	16.5	-0.36	18.2	15.0	3.21
Jon Barry	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	20	-9	15.7	16.6	-0.85	15.1	17.6	-2.47
Corliss Williamson	35	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.19	10	21	-11	17.0	15.8	1.14	16.7	16.9	-0.20
Chucky Atkins	43	42	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	27	-23	16.5	16.1	0.44	15.3	18.2	-2.91
Mehmet Okur	40	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	29	-27	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.5	17.8	-2.29
Tayshaun Prince	23	23	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	29	-27	16.1	16.3	-0.21	14.8	17.5	-2.76
Hubert Davis	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	36	-41	18.5	16.0	2.48	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Danny Manning	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	36	-41	17.5	16.1	1.45	13.5	17.4	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
IND 97, DAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
UTA 104, POR 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%