NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	7.5 [310]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +18.8%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	7.0 [67]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -24.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.07	0.02	19	71%	0.23	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13	0.05	0.09	0.02	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	15	62%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	9	84%	0.20	7	-0.20	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	90%	0.06	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	14%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.2,-0.25	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	12	31%	-0.18	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.02	0.05	21	70%	0.20	4	-0.15	5	80%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.07	-0.11	0.02	17	62%	0.10	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.11	-0.02	17	61%	0.03	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	29.3	15.7	24.2	2.6	32.4	128.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.4%

LAC +9.0%

LAC +16.2%

LAC +7.2%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.5	116.3	116.5	101.6
season	15.4	15.0		100.2	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.2	16.0	14.9	16.1	16.3
PHX	14.5	14.7	14.5	17.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	58	57	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.48	17	-16	33	15.9	16.9	-0.99	15.7	14.3	1.41
Andre Miller	79	77	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	-1	3	16.1	17.5	-1.40	15.5	13.5	2.02
Elton Brand	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.61	-10	11	-21	16.4	15.9	0.53	14.7	16.4	-1.76
Lamar Odom	79	80	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.50	-8	9	-17	16.3	16.2	0.04	15.0	16.5	-1.42
Corey Maggette	58	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.54	-10	11	-21	16.5	15.8	0.74	15.4	14.8	0.62
Melvin Ely	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.19	14	-13	27	16.7	15.8	0.88	15.5	14.8	0.68
Eric Piatkowski	11	11	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	-7	15	16.5	16.2	0.22	17.5	14.9	2.55
Keyon Dooling	13	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	2	-3	17.5	16.1	1.40	13.5	15.5	-2.02
Sean Rooks	49	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	8	-15	15.7	16.9	-1.21	14.4	16.0	-1.57

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	19	17	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.01	4	-5	9	16.5	14.9	1.60	18.1	15.9	2.21
Randy Brown	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	2	-5	16.4	14.9	1.49	17.9	15.9	1.92
Scott Williams	24	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	8	-17	14.4	15.5	-1.08	16.6	16.1	0.46
Bo Outlaw	76	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.19	-4	3	-7	15.2	15.2	0.01	16.0	17.5	-1.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	58	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.61	9	-10	19	15.1	15.4	-0.29	16.3	16.1	0.26
Casey Jacobsen	29	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	7	-15	14.0	15.8	-1.82	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Shawn Marion	86	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-4	7	15.2	15.6	-0.41	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Stephon Marbury	75	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	14.9	16.4	-1.49	15.9	17.9	-1.92
Joe Johnson	72	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.53	1	-2	3	15.7	13.2	2.59	16.2	16.6	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.03,0,0	92.2%
MIA 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.46,0.25,0.08,0.11,0.01,0	92.0%
BOS 80, MIN 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0	91.3%