NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	4.4 [935]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +23.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	1.2 [1209]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): -14.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	11	62%	0.09	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	68%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Fred Hoiberg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jay Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	11	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.02	0.04	11	37%	-0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.04	-0.05	18	70%	0.26	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	7	85%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	10	52%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	304.2	2.7	0.0	14.7	27.0	2.7	0.0	351.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +38.8%

CHI -7.6%

POR +23.3%

CHI -3.6%

CHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	102.2	112.6	101.6
season	15.0	16.0		98.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	17.1	18.1	12.5	15.5
POR	17.0	13.1	16.0	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	14.3	15.5	-1.17	16.7	15.3	1.37
Eddy Curry	31	35	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	15.2	15.6	-0.41	16.1	14.9	1.14
Corie Blount	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-15	17	10.4	16.8	-6.36	15.5	15.3	0.24
Marcus Fizer	43	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-16	19	13.7	17.0	-3.37	15.9	14.8	1.12
Jay Williams	45	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-14	15	13.6	17.2	-3.61	15.5	15.2	0.30
Fred Hoiberg	22	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-11	9	12.9	16.3	-3.36	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Trenton Hassell	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-9	5	16.1	15.1	1.01	15.8	15.1	0.69
Eddie Robinson	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-4	-5	15.1	16.1	-1.01	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Jalen Rose	67	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	0	-13	16.4	13.1	3.28	15.6	14.4	1.23
Jamal Crawford	47	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	1	-15	17.2	13.6	3.61	15.2	15.5	-0.30
Donyell Marshall	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	3	-19	17.0	13.7	3.37	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Tyson Chandler	42	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.10	-20	7	-27	18.0	13.4	4.57	14.6	15.9	-1.24

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	68	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.09	20	-7	27	14.7	16.9	-2.22	17.1	11.0	6.19
Scottie Pippen	51	50	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-7	27	15.0	15.7	-0.73	17.5	13.1	4.41
Dale Davis	48	47	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-5	23	14.8	15.9	-1.10	18.1	12.7	5.40
Bonzi Wells	63	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-2	17	16.1	13.9	2.20	16.1	14.2	1.83
Derek Anderson	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	6	1	15.4	15.1	0.31	15.5	15.3	0.19
Damon Stoudamire	45	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	9	-5	14.8	15.8	-1.06	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Ruben Patterson	41	38	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	11	-9	14.8	15.8	-0.98	13.4	16.9	-3.53
Qyntel Woods	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	17.0	15.3	1.74	11.5	15.6	-4.15
Arvydas Sabonis	43	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	15	-17	15.8	15.0	0.83	12.8	17.6	-4.76
Jeff McInnis	34	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	18	-23	16.4	14.8	1.63	13.6	16.4	-2.83
Zach Randolph	18	17	-0.23	0.72	-0.95	0.10	-11	24	-35	16.4	15.1	1.30	11.3	16.4	-5.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,1	95.6%
IND 91, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 69, PHI 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%