NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	9.4 [95]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +10.5%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	2.7 [142]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -13.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.02	17	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.08
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	117%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	12	44%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	60%	0.01	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Mike Batiste	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.12,0.09,-0.02,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	16	42%	-0.11	0	0.00	11	82%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	42%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	17	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	19	74%	-0.05
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.13,-0.1,0.08,0.01,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	5	33%	-0.05	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.03
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	15	31%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	28.9	16.0	26.1	1.7	42.3	145.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +29.5%

MEM +0.5%

MEM +13.8%

SAS -10.6%

MEM +16.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.7	15.5	103.2	98.9	101.6
season	15.3	15.7		101.8	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		96.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.0	17.2	14.3	12.8	14.8
SAS	15.6	14.8	16.4	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	63	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	12.7	18.9	-6.21	16.7	13.6	3.10
Pau Gasol	78	76	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	13.8	19.2	-5.34	16.1	14.1	2.02
Jason Williams	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-4	13	13.1	19.4	-6.26	16.3	13.9	2.41
Lorenzen Wright	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	0	5	14.1	15.9	-1.78	15.8	15.6	0.21
Drew Gooden	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-4	13	14.0	15.9	-1.96	15.8	15.5	0.31
Shane Battier	55	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	8	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.28	16.0	15.3	0.78
Earl Watson	28	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	8	-11	19.1	13.0	6.17	13.1	16.7	-3.57
Brevin Knight	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.01	-4	9	-13	19.4	13.1	6.26	13.9	16.3	-2.41
Cezary Trybanski	17	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	8	-11	19.2	13.8	5.34	14.1	16.1	-2.02
Mike Batiste	24	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.02	-4	9	-13	19.0	13.4	5.63	14.7	16.1	-1.38

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	28	27	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.02	14	-19	33	14.9	16.0	-1.14	17.4	13.8	3.61
Malik Rose	38	36	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-10	15	14.6	16.4	-1.78	18.8	12.3	6.47
Manu Ginobili	30	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-13	21	14.4	16.3	-1.90	18.4	13.0	5.34
Kevin Willis	5	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	12.4	15.9	-3.48	16.0	14.7	1.26
Steve Kerr	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	5	-15	13.7	16.3	-2.56	17.0	14.2	2.84
Tim Duncan	79	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	15.7	15.4	0.35	14.4	17.3	-2.91
Tony Parker	80	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.42	-1	-4	3	15.9	14.5	1.40	14.2	18.7	-4.52
David Robinson	66	67	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	6	-17	16.5	13.8	2.66	13.0	19.0	-6.02
Bruce Bowen	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	8	-21	16.5	14.1	2.38	13.4	17.3	-3.90
Stephen Jackson	60	62	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	10	-25	16.3	14.6	1.73	13.3	17.6	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.3,0.35,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 85, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.35,0.08,0	91.5%
SAS 107, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.05,0	91.4%
CLE 87, SEA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.1,0.02,0	91.4%