NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	103		Excitement	12.6 [8]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +12.7%
Utah Jazz	106		Comeback	39.2 [30]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -59.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.00	7	72%	0.22	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Kerry Kittles	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	65%	0.12	1	-0.04	10	80%	-0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Childs	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	4	17%	-0.19	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.59	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.23,-0.27,-0.3,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.33,-0.26,-0.31,-0.35,-0.43,-0.47,-0.52,-0.65,-0.65,-0.65,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.58,-0.59	-0.33	-0.29	-0.02	36	40%	-0.17	10	-0.42	11	73%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.32,0.14,0.2,0.06,0.17,0.13,0.12	0.12	-0.09	0.19	-0.02	21	44%	0.15	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.10
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	81%	0.20	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	17	62%	0.14	3	-0.15	6	83%	0.04
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	59%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.15	0.00	16	64%	0.20	4	-0.34	4	75%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	26.6	15.0	29.8	1.7	34.5	2.5	20.1	157.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +54.2%

UTA +0.8%

UTA +19.8%

NJN -20.5%

NJN -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.0	15.5	97.2	100.0	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.1	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	14.3	14.7	12.9	15.1	12.2	14.0
UTA	17.6	18.9	14.8	14.9	12.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	32	33	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.06	10	-13	23	13.9	14.0	-0.08	16.5	15.8	0.73
Chris Childs	19	19	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-4	5	14.3	13.9	0.40	16.2	16.0	0.25
Aaron Williams	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-13	23	13.7	14.4	-0.65	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Kenyon Martin	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	4	-11	14.4	13.4	0.98	15.9	16.1	-0.19
Jason Collins	49	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	5	-13	13.5	14.4	-0.89	16.3	15.8	0.56
Kerry Kittles	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48	5	-8	13	13.5	15.2	-1.67	15.8	16.4	-0.51
Lucious Harris	53	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	5	-13	14.5	13.5	1.00	15.9	16.1	-0.17
Jason Kidd	87	87	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	3	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.40	16.0	16.2	-0.25
Richard Jefferson	86	85	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.44	-12	9	-21	14.3	12.6	1.71	16.2	15.4	0.72

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	79	79	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.44	12	-9	21	15.7	16.8	-1.08	14.4	12.7	1.68
Karl Malone	95	96	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-6	15	15.7	19.1	-3.44	14.1	13.2	0.87
Calbert Cheaney	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-2	7	16.8	13.7	3.17	14.9	11.6	3.29
Andrei Kirilenko	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	6	-9	15.1	17.3	-2.18	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Tony Massenburg	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	1	1	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.3	13.7	0.51
Matt Harpring	91	91	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	2	-1	15.5	19.1	-3.56	13.5	17.1	-3.58
Scott Padgett	11	11	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	5	-7	19.1	15.7	3.44	12.0	14.2	-2.22
John Amaechi	26	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	17.5	15.5	1.97	14.2	13.9	0.27
Greg Ostertag	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.05	0	3	-3	18.2	15.7	2.53	13.5	14.1	-0.52
Mark Jackson	27	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.03	-9	12	-21	16.8	15.7	1.08	12.7	14.4	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.4,0.6,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	90.0%
MIN 102, SEA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.79,0.83,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.67,0.87,1	89.9%
MIN 100, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.89,0.84,1	89.6%