NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	78		Excitement	2.6 [1215]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +9.7%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.6 [1069]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -11.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	6	93%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walter McCarty	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	16	57%	0.01	5	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	7	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	14	33%	-0.06	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.18	-0.00	0.08	20	68%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.07	8	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	63%	0.08	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	73%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.06	10	57%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	30.3	18.2	24.6	3.3	29.3	135.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.8%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +12.3%

DAL +14.0%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	17.4	15.5	91.8	121.2	101.6
season	15.6	15.1		99.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		102.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	18.7	17.5	13.9	16.5
DAL	15.2	19.2	14.5	21.4	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-27	29	13.7	17.1	-3.43	22.4	16.4	5.95
Bruno Sundov	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	11.9	17.1	-5.21	19.6	17.1	2.51
Kedrick Brown	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-32	39	14.1	17.6	-3.55	20.2	16.2	4.04
Mikki Moore	6	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-22	19	13.5	16.7	-3.22	15.6	17.5	-1.90
Eric Williams	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-23	21	16.3	16.9	-0.61	17.4	17.4	-0.06
Shammond Williams	40	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-8	-9	15.7	17.2	-1.50	16.3	18.5	-2.10
Tony Delk	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.33	-21	-4	-17	17.8	14.7	3.07	15.8	19.6	-3.76
Antoine Walker	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-8	-9	17.3	14.0	3.31	16.9	18.8	-1.93
Tony Battie	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-5	-15	17.6	15.4	2.25	17.7	17.1	0.53
Paul Pierce	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.43	-30	5	-35	17.0	15.3	1.72	16.4	19.6	-3.19
Walter McCarty	55	55	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.14	-22	-3	-19	16.9	15.8	1.07	18.2	15.9	2.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	8	9	19.0	15.1	3.91	16.9	15.9	1.05
Adrian Griffin	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-3	31	16.6	19.4	-2.83	16.9	15.4	1.50
Walt Williams	48	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	15	-5	19.1	15.1	4.04	17.3	15.4	1.82
Nick Van Exel	32	33	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	18	-11	19.7	16.0	3.64	17.8	15.6	2.21
Michael Finley	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.39	26	-1	27	15.7	21.2	-5.48	17.4	14.5	2.87
Dirk Nowitzki	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.32	19	6	13	15.4	20.3	-4.88	16.4	16.6	-0.18
Steve Nash	51	50	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.23	13	12	1	15.7	19.9	-4.16	15.7	17.6	-1.83
Shawn Bradley	31	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.28	10	15	-5	15.1	18.7	-3.56	16.8	16.3	0.47
Avery Johnson	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	22.4	16.4	5.95	13.7	17.1	-3.43
Raja Bell	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	30	-35	21.3	16.3	4.99	13.3	17.4	-4.16
Popeye Jones	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	19.6	17.1	2.51	11.9	17.1	-5.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 93, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
BOS 79, IND 106	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NOP 101, GSW 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%