NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	69		Excitement	2.3 [1236]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (UTA): +2.6%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [874]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -9.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Efthimios Rentzias	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.04	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	4	17%	-0.07	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	12	43%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	12	71%	0.03	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	6	47%	0.02	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	12	57%	-0.00	3	-0.05	11	91%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.6	33.3	15.4	24.5	2.5	28.2	129.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.8%

UTA +14.1%

UTA +9.1%

UTA +2.2%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	UTA	NBA	PHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.5	75.0	105.4	101.6
season	15.3	16.3		102.1	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.6	19.7	12.9	15.1
UTA	15.2	16.4	13.6	19.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Efthimios Rentzias	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	14.1	15.1	-0.99	16.4	16.0	0.38
Kenny Satterfield	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-27	25	14.9	15.2	-0.27	17.7	15.1	2.63
John Salmons	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-27	25	14.9	15.2	-0.27	17.7	15.1	2.63
Greg Buckner	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-19	9	14.7	15.3	-0.63	16.2	15.9	0.31
Keith Van Horn	50	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-17	5	14.8	15.4	-0.64	16.5	15.6	0.96
Brian Skinner	37	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.30	-20	-9	-11	16.7	14.0	2.71	14.8	16.9	-2.07
Kenny Thomas	73	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-16	3	14.4	17.5	-3.05	16.5	14.5	2.01
Allen Iverson	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-10	-9	15.1	15.0	0.03	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Todd MacCulloch	43	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.28	-21	-8	-13	15.1	15.0	0.03	14.9	17.1	-2.26
Eric Snow	45	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.33	-25	-4	-21	15.2	14.9	0.29	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Aaron McKie	55	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-11	-7	15.5	14.4	1.13	15.8	16.5	-0.69

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.54	32	-3	35	15.1	17.8	-2.65	16.0	13.3	2.73
Karl Malone	56	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.54	32	-3	35	15.4	17.2	-1.81	15.9	13.8	2.07
Calbert Cheaney	48	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.45	28	1	27	15.1	17.1	-1.96	16.0	13.9	2.11
Greg Ostertag	46	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.56	30	-1	31	14.5	17.7	-3.20	16.8	13.3	3.59
John Stockton	40	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.33	20	9	11	16.4	15.8	0.61	15.5	14.7	0.80
Mark Jackson	34	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	15	-1	14.6	16.9	-2.30	16.2	14.4	1.85
Andrei Kirilenko	48	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	28	-27	16.8	15.3	1.44	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Scott Padgett	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	25	-21	16.8	15.4	1.37	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Tony Massenburg	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	32	-35	17.8	15.1	2.65	13.3	16.0	-2.73
DeShawn Stevenson	26	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	33	-37	18.3	15.2	3.15	13.4	15.6	-2.22
Carlos Arroyo	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	34	-39	17.9	15.6	2.35	11.8	15.8	-4.00
John Amaechi	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	33	-37	19.1	15.6	3.45	11.6	15.6	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, PHX 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
TOR 91, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
PHI 98, MIA 125	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%