NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	101		Excitement	1.7 [492]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +19.3%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	1.2 [340]		LVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): -22.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	25	57%	0.16	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	13	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Doug Christie	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	6	23%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16	0.00	-0.11	0.05	15	54%	-0.05	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Bobby Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	14	37%	-0.09	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.10	0.01	15	76%	0.27	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.05
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	0.01	22	52%	0.02	5	-0.12	10	90%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	28.2	15.4	22.5	2.3	36.3	132.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +33.9%

SAC -10.0%

PHX +14.0%

PHX +11.1%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	13.2	15.1	15.5	100.0	107.8	101.6
season	14.0	15.0		104.4	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		100.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.3	13.2	13.6	13.0	13.2
PHX	12.0	15.6	16.4	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	48	47	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-11	13	13.4	13.1	0.28	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Doug Christie	79	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-10	11	13.1	13.7	-0.61	14.9	15.9	-1.03
Hedo Turkoglu	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-3	-3	14.2	13.1	1.05	17.5	14.8	2.70
Jim Jackson	29	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-6	3	14.2	12.9	1.35	17.6	14.2	3.40
Peja Stojakovic	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-4	-1	12.8	14.5	-1.74	14.2	17.7	-3.46
Chris Webber	92	94	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-6	3	13.1	14.3	-1.19	15.2	14.1	1.08
Mike Bibby	72	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	13.1	13.6	-0.48	14.1	17.4	-3.29
Keon Clark	41	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	0	-9	13.8	12.9	0.90	16.8	14.0	2.80
Bobby Jackson	58	61	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	4	-17	13.2	13.3	-0.14	15.1	15.1	0.03

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	62	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-5	19	15.6	14.3	1.26	13.4	13.1	0.31
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-1	11	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.8	12.2	1.58
Stephon Marbury	85	84	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	4	1	14.0	20.8	-6.78	13.0	14.5	-1.47
Shawn Marion	82	81	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	3	3	13.9	20.1	-6.20	13.1	14.0	-0.94
Jake Tsakalidis	47	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	14.4	15.7	-1.24	13.6	12.9	0.68
Casey Jacobsen	30	31	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	4	1	17.8	14.0	3.80	13.5	13.1	0.39
Bo Outlaw	38	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	14.2	15.7	-1.49	11.7	14.1	-2.41
Scott Williams	27	27	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	9	-9	18.5	13.9	4.57	13.8	13.1	0.72
Jake Voskuhl	18	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	11	-13	14.1	15.3	-1.22	12.9	13.3	-0.44
Joe Johnson	57	55	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	10	-11	16.3	13.7	2.60	13.5	13.0	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.81,0.96,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.96,1	93.2%
ORL 115, UTA 119	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.83,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
LAL 92, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%