NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	86		Excitement	4.7 [868]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +17.7%
Sacramento Kings	95		Comeback	1.0 [1249]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -23.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Langhi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.03	13	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	17	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	5	25%	-0.10	1	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Stephon Marbury	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	16	26%	-0.13	5	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	11	76%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	4	62%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	9	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	23	52%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.8	25.1	16.4	24.4	2.5	25.5	118.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.8%

SAC +4.9%

PHX -4.5%

SAC +2.6%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.4	12.9	15.5	84.3	93.1	101.6
season	15.0	14.0		101.1	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.9		98.6	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	16.1	14.9	16.3	15.4
SAC	11.3	13.9	12.2	14.3	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.00	1	-10	11	16.0	15.2	0.84	11.9	13.2	-1.30
Alton Ford	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	11.2	15.6	-4.39	14.8	12.8	2.04
Dan Langhi	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-15	21	13.0	15.7	-2.75	15.1	12.5	2.58
Joe Johnson	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.32	8	-17	25	13.2	16.8	-3.57	13.6	12.4	1.26
Bo Outlaw	52	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-9	9	15.5	15.3	0.22	12.6	13.1	-0.43
Casey Jacobsen	68	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.36	9	-18	27	15.1	16.0	-0.90	13.4	11.9	1.47
Scott Williams	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	13.8	15.9	-2.14	12.4	13.0	-0.58
Jake Tsakalidis	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	3	-15	15.7	15.3	0.45	12.1	13.1	-0.99
Anfernee Hardaway	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.07	-16	7	-23	15.4	15.3	0.05	11.9	14.0	-2.07
Shawn Marion	80	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	7	-23	15.8	13.9	1.92	12.5	14.1	-1.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	60	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	16.1	14.4	1.73	13.4	12.0	1.36
Stephon Marbury	60	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	10	-29	16.9	13.1	3.79	13.0	12.7	0.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	70	71	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-11	31	11.8	15.2	-3.34	15.7	14.5	1.23
Chris Webber	91	91	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-8	25	12.5	16.1	-3.62	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Vlade Divac	59	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-5	19	12.1	13.9	-1.72	15.9	14.7	1.13
Peja Stojakovic	55	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-5	19	11.8	14.1	-2.31	15.6	15.1	0.56
Bobby Jackson	63	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	1	7	11.8	14.5	-2.67	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Damon Jones	34	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	1	7	14.5	12.1	2.41	16.1	15.0	1.03
Keon Clark	49	50	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	15	-21	14.3	11.6	2.70	15.4	15.3	0.05
Jim Jackson	42	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	7	-5	14.0	12.0	1.97	15.5	15.3	0.26
Hedo Turkoglu	32	31	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	15.2	11.8	3.34	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Gerald Wallace	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	14.8	12.8	2.04	11.2	15.6	-4.39
Lawrence Funderburke	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	14.8	12.8	2.04	11.2	15.6	-4.39
Mateen Cleaves	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	14.8	12.8	2.04	11.2	15.6	-4.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 76, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.2%
ORL 61, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%