NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	9.9 [69]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	2.8 [364]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -23.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.08	-0.01	15	60%	0.24	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.07
Vlade Divac	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	8	70%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	15	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	19	49%	0.02	2	-0.06	17	76%	0.11

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	69%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	63%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	16	47%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	14	39%	-0.13	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.12	-0.12	0.00	12	43%	-0.13	4	-0.11	6	83%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.8	25.6	15.8	23.4	1.7	40.0	128.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.9%

SAC +46.3%

UTA -12.9%

UTA -9.3%

UTA -8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.9	16.7	15.5	104.3	102.1	101.6
season	14.0	16.3		104.4	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.7		101.1	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.1	15.8	13.7	14.3	13.9
UTA	16.0	17.8	17.0	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	66	66	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.49	13	-11	24	13.3	15.4	-2.16	16.3	17.8	-1.51
Bobby Jackson	73	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.49	11	-9	20	13.3	16.0	-2.68	16.1	19.1	-2.92
Vlade Divac	74	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-9	20	13.4	15.9	-2.59	16.8	16.6	0.17
Chris Webber	82	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-4	10	13.9	13.7	0.19	16.3	19.5	-3.20
Doug Christie	72	72	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	3	-4	13.1	16.5	-3.43	15.5	20.6	-5.11
Jim Jackson	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	7	-12	15.7	13.0	2.75	17.8	16.1	1.72
Damon Jones	13	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	5	-8	17.7	13.3	4.38	21.4	16.0	5.38
Keon Clark	32	33	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.05	-13	15	-28	15.1	13.3	1.83	17.6	16.3	1.31

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	40	41	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.21	14	-16	30	16.7	16.7	-0.04	15.2	12.9	2.36
Calbert Cheaney	62	63	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.10	-1	-1	0	18.2	13.9	4.22	13.9	13.9	0.02
Mark Jackson	41	40	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.03	3	-5	8	17.2	16.3	0.88	14.6	13.4	1.24
Scott Padgett	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.28	3	-5	8	17.9	16.0	1.98	15.3	13.1	2.21
Greg Ostertag	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	13	-28	18.1	15.9	2.16	12.3	14.9	-2.65
Andrei Kirilenko	55	54	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.49	4	-6	10	16.5	17.0	-0.52	14.9	12.5	2.42
John Stockton	53	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	3	-8	16.3	17.2	-0.88	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Karl Malone	76	75	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	4	-10	15.5	21.8	-6.25	13.3	16.3	-2.94
Matt Harpring	71	71	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	5	-12	15.6	20.1	-4.45	13.1	16.3	-3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.15,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	91.4%
SAC 116, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.26,0	91.1%
UTA 84, VAN 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	91.1%