NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	104		Excitement	6.9 [415]		MVP	Dajuan Wagner (CLE): +23.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	1.9 [781]		LVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): -21.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.02	0.05	13	69%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
James Posey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	17	55%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	8	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	53%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Vincent Yarbrough	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	3	29%	-0.03	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22	-0.14	-0.09	-0.01	14	34%	-0.10	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dajuan Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.23	0.13	0.11	0.00	19	69%	0.27	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	19	59%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.07	0.04	18	66%	0.08	11	-0.29	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	1.8	34.2	15.8	26.0	1.8	35.1	142.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +43.8%

CLE +3.8%

CLE +27.1%

DEN -25.7%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	15.5	107.2	116.8	101.6
season	15.7	15.1		90.4	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.3	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.7	15.0	17.6	13.2	15.6
CLE	13.3	13.2	14.4	16.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	43	41	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.10	9	-16	25	17.0	14.5	2.48	12.5	15.9	-3.39
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-6	5	13.7	15.7	-2.06	13.0	14.5	-1.50
Vincent Yarbrough	7	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-6	5	15.1	15.6	-0.49	13.2	14.5	-1.31
Ryan Bowen	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	19.1	15.0	4.14	15.8	14.2	1.69
Juwan Howard	81	79	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-11	15	15.6	15.5	0.12	14.5	13.9	0.62
James Posey	83	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	15.7	14.7	1.03	14.6	13.3	1.25
Rodney White	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-7	7	14.8	16.4	-1.58	15.0	13.8	1.15
Junior Harrington	26	25	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	6	-19	16.0	15.4	0.60	16.3	13.7	2.62
Chris Whitney	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.32	-1	-6	5	15.3	16.7	-1.35	13.7	17.4	-3.77
Donnell Harvey	60	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	1	-9	14.7	17.1	-2.35	14.7	13.8	0.94
Nene	38	38	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	16	-39	15.4	15.7	-0.29	14.7	14.2	0.58

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milt Palacio	48	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-10	27	15.5	13.2	2.33	15.8	15.3	0.52
Ricky Davis	88	91	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	14.5	13.1	1.35	15.7	13.5	2.24
DeSagana Diop	27	27	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-5	17	16.2	13.7	2.56	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Dajuan Wagner	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	6	-5	15.0	10.3	4.73	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Carlos Boozer	63	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	1	5	14.6	13.9	0.73	15.6	15.5	0.15
Darius Miles	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	2	3	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.3	15.8	-0.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	72	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	9	-11	13.8	16.1	-2.30	15.1	17.3	-2.24
Tyrone Hill	20	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	11.8	15.1	-3.28	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Smush Parker	35	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	14	-21	12.1	15.7	-3.56	16.7	14.9	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, TOR 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.93,0.95,1	93.7%
NYK 109, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.6%
UTA 75, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%