NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	2.5 [1220]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +9.0%
Dallas Mavericks	122		Comeback	1.0 [1254]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -6.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Rooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	16	50%	0.01	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	11	27%	-0.05	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	11	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	14	50%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.21	0.00	0.13	13	86%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	90%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	72%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.00	0.08	15	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	30.2	16.5	25.3	1.8	23.5	123.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +36.4%

DAL +13.0%

DAL +6.2%

LAC -4.8%

LAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.1	15.5	100.0	125.8	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		100.2	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.8	17.2	14.4	16.0
DAL	14.3	10.8	12.8	19.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-30	33	14.3	16.6	-2.32	17.4	12.7	4.63
Cherokee Parks	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-28	29	17.0	15.9	1.05	0.0	14.1	-14.06
Sean Rooks	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.17	-6	-21	15	14.6	16.6	-1.98	14.0	14.1	-0.09
Eric Piatkowski	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-22	17	16.4	15.9	0.55	11.9	14.5	-2.52
Melvin Ely	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-16	5	18.0	15.0	2.99	12.9	14.6	-1.71
Tremaine Fowlkes	24	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-18	9	18.2	15.2	2.96	13.5	14.3	-0.72
Marko Jaric	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-12	-3	15.8	16.5	-0.65	14.8	11.7	3.10
Quentin Richardson	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	-9	-9	15.1	18.0	-2.84	14.5	13.1	1.37
Wang Zhi-zhi	36	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-17	7	15.4	16.3	-0.87	15.0	13.4	1.59
Keyon Dooling	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-12	-3	15.6	16.3	-0.71	14.3	13.8	0.45
Elton Brand	61	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.31	-24	-3	-21	16.1	15.6	0.48	13.1	15.8	-2.72
Andre Miller	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.35	-26	-1	-25	16.9	14.2	2.72	12.8	16.5	-3.63

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	73	72	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.53	35	-8	43	12.7	18.2	-5.51	16.6	13.9	2.70
Raef LaFrentz	44	42	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.27	21	6	15	12.8	15.1	-2.23	17.3	14.9	2.42
Shawn Bradley	54	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	12	3	14.2	13.9	0.36	15.5	16.5	-0.93
Steve Nash	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.33	22	5	17	12.9	15.4	-2.58	17.3	14.4	2.89
Nick Van Exel	66	65	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	15	-3	14.7	12.8	1.89	14.8	18.5	-3.76
Raja Bell	41	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	21	-15	14.9	13.5	1.41	15.3	16.4	-1.10
Dirk Nowitzki	20	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	19	-11	13.0	14.3	-1.34	16.9	15.7	1.15
Adrian Griffin	42	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.23	12	15	-3	13.6	14.4	-0.74	16.7	15.4	1.31
Popeye Jones	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	23	-19	15.2	13.0	2.19	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Avery Johnson	35	34	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	30	-33	16.8	12.5	4.33	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Adam Harrington	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	24	-21	16.1	13.8	2.29	14.5	16.2	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, TOR 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHI 91, CLE 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 96, ORL 129	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%