NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	94		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +27.0%
New Orleans Hornets	90		Comeback	2.0 [257]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -29.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.06,0,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.00	0.15	-0.02	22	58%	0.30	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.04
Keyon Dooling	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	64%	0.08	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Cherokee Parks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Sean Rooks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.21,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.14	10	100%	0.10

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.07	0.19	-0.01	23	66%	0.42	5	-0.15	4	25%	-0.04
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	14	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.16	0.01	10	32%	-0.23	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.41,-0.41,-0.29	-0.29	-0.18	-0.12	-0.01	20	34%	-0.10	4	-0.19	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.7	31.3	15.7	27.6	1.8	39.1	139.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +14.2%

LAC +28.6%

LAC +23.7%

NOH -17.7%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.2	15.6	15.5	100.0	96.8	101.6
season	15.4	15.9		100.2	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	16.1	16.4	15.3	15.2
NOH	15.5	18.2	15.6	13.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	63	62	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-1	6	15.7	14.1	1.60	16.0	14.7	1.34
Sean Rooks	40	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.00	18	-14	32	15.8	14.7	1.08	17.9	13.9	3.95
Marko Jaric	45	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	0	4	14.6	15.8	-1.16	15.5	15.7	-0.18
Tremaine Fowlkes	61	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.36	5	-1	6	14.3	16.8	-2.54	15.2	16.2	-0.99
Elton Brand	90	89	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.40	1	3	-2	15.2	14.2	0.99	15.4	19.5	-4.07
Andre Miller	70	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	14.5	17.2	-2.64	15.3	16.6	-1.32
Keyon Dooling	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	1	2	17.2	14.5	2.64	16.6	15.3	1.32
Eric Piatkowski	31	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	5	-6	14.1	15.7	-1.60	14.7	16.1	-1.39
Melvin Ely	21	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	13	-22	14.6	15.4	-0.81	12.2	16.7	-4.48
Cherokee Parks	25	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	11	-18	17.8	14.2	3.59	16.8	15.2	1.63

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	48	49	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.09	10	-14	24	14.5	16.7	-2.19	17.0	13.2	3.76
George Lynch	14	14	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.16	4	-8	12	18.5	15.1	3.41	20.2	14.3	5.89
Stacey Augmon	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-3	2	15.4	15.7	-0.22	14.4	15.5	-1.11
David Wesley	73	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-4	4	15.3	16.7	-1.46	13.9	19.3	-5.37
Elden Campbell	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	5	-14	17.9	14.3	3.58	15.1	15.3	-0.16
Baron Davis	80	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-4	4	16.0	13.0	3.03	16.2	8.3	7.87
Courtney Alexander	47	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	15.6	15.6	-0.06	15.2	15.2	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	80	82	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.59	-5	1	-6	15.3	17.5	-2.16	14.4	20.4	-5.98
P.J. Brown	67	68	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.45	-12	8	-20	14.9	17.4	-2.53	14.2	17.7	-3.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.61,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, NYK 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.16,0.15,0	91.0%
SAC 103, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.47,0.62,0.29,0.22,0.04,0	91.0%
NOP 114, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	90.6%