NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	6.3 [537]		MVP	Ira Newble (ATL): +16.0%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	1.0 [507]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -19.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	8	82%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	5	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Shammond Williams	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	17	53%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	22	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Vin Baker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
J.R. Bremer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	22	45%	-0.03	4	-0.11	5	40%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.00	11	65%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	2	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	0.01	-0.05	7	56%	0.04	5	-0.10	13	85%	0.03
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.05	13	64%	-0.02	3	-0.05	10	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	4	40%	-0.04	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	19	52%	0.01	8	-0.21	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	28.1	15.5	26.5	2.6	39.2	135.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.6%

ATL -6.8%

BOS +4.7%

BOS +31.1%

BOS +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	15.5	107.9	99.0	101.6
season	15.6	15.1		99.3	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.1	16.0	13.3	15.6	15.4
ATL	13.5	14.0	12.9	12.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	84	83	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.17	18	-8	26	14.9	18.1	-3.21	13.3	12.9	0.38
Tony Battie	61	61	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.38	9	1	8	15.2	15.8	-0.67	13.2	13.2	-0.05
Antoine Walker	89	90	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-6	22	15.1	18.3	-3.28	13.4	11.6	1.78
Eric Williams	87	84	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-4	18	14.9	18.6	-3.63	13.1	13.6	-0.43
Paul Pierce	91	89	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	7	-4	15.7	13.2	2.49	12.7	16.9	-4.17
J.R. Bremer	27	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	11	-12	16.3	15.1	1.16	14.5	12.7	1.76
Vin Baker	34	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.10	-2	12	-14	16.3	15.0	1.32	13.6	13.0	0.59
Walter McCarty	32	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	17	-24	17.5	14.5	2.96	12.5	13.5	-1.04

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	41	41	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.04	4	-14	18	13.6	12.9	0.69	15.4	15.5	-0.13
Amal McCaskill	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-15	20	13.2	13.2	0.01	15.0	15.5	-0.55
Glenn Robinson	87	89	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-11	12	12.7	16.5	-3.75	15.6	14.2	1.36
Ira Newble	78	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-9	8	12.9	14.3	-1.38	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Emanual Davis	14	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-6	2	12.9	13.2	-0.32	17.6	15.1	2.55
Jason Terry	86	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	13.2	12.9	0.32	15.1	17.6	-2.55
Dion Glover	22	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.3	12.9	1.38	15.7	15.4	0.34
Chris Crawford	13	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	1	-12	16.5	12.7	3.75	14.2	15.6	-1.36
Theo Ratliff	69	70	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	3	-16	13.0	13.7	-0.74	15.7	14.8	0.88
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.16	-16	6	-22	13.2	13.2	-0.06	15.3	15.7	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
ATL 95, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.44,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
GSW 105, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.2%