NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	3.1 [1141]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +5.6%
Atlanta Hawks	93		Comeback	1.3 [223]		LVP	Ira Newble (ATL): -9.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	76%	0.06	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.05	12	74%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Slater	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	60%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	-0.10	19	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	14	66%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Amal McCaskill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.10	27	59%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	17	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	8	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	8	12%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.3	16.0	25.7	1.6	30.1	132.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.6%

MIN +9.9%

MIN +6.9%

MIN +3.7%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	15.5	106.2	96.9	101.6
season	14.9	15.1		104.0	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	13.4	18.2	16.1	15.5
ATL	14.5	16.6	13.7	12.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	15.7	14.2	1.55	14.7	12.8	1.90
Rod Strickland	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-5	20	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.0	13.8	1.16
Anthony Peeler	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	0	10	15.4	15.5	-0.07	13.8	15.5	-1.72
Marc Jackson	49	48	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	1	8	16.8	14.0	2.80	14.8	13.9	0.90
Gary Trent	36	37	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-1	12	13.7	16.5	-2.80	16.1	13.3	2.80
Joe Smith	55	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	16.3	14.4	1.89	13.4	15.7	-2.28
Rasho Nesterovic	40	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	11	-12	15.0	15.8	-0.81	15.0	13.9	1.03
Kendall Gill	61	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	15.5	15.4	0.10	14.2	14.7	-0.54
Troy Hudson	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	12	-14	16.1	14.7	1.38	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Igor Rakocevic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	2.3	15.9	-13.54	6.7	14.6	-7.97
Reggie Slater	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	2.3	15.9	-13.54	6.7	14.6	-7.97

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	35	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.21	4	-14	18	13.6	14.9	-1.28	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Amal McCaskill	5	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-1	-8	10.2	14.6	-4.42	10.0	15.7	-5.75
Emanual Davis	17	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-6	2	15.5	14.2	1.32	19.4	14.7	4.70
Alan Henderson	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-6	2	15.5	13.7	1.82	18.1	14.0	4.06
Darvin Ham	14	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	0	-10	20.6	13.3	7.24	18.7	15.0	3.74
Glenn Robinson	81	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.33	2	-12	14	13.4	19.5	-6.10	15.1	17.5	-2.39
Theo Ratliff	68	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-7	4	14.3	14.5	-0.21	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Jason Terry	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-4	-2	14.2	15.5	-1.32	14.7	19.4	-4.70
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	84	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-6	2	14.2	15.7	-1.46	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Ira Newble	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	6	-22	14.7	13.8	0.87	15.6	15.1	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 108, DEN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
DAL 98, MIN 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%