NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	4.4 [932]		MVP	Baron Davis (NOH): +15.4%
New Orleans Hornets	105		Comeback	2.0 [852]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (CHI): -13.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonny Baxter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.03	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	10	40%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	17	56%	0.04	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	39%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jay Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	13	79%	0.17	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	9	80%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	63%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	19	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	44%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	28.3	15.8	31.1	1.8	24.1	129.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +33.3%

CHI -9.1%

NOH +2.9%

NOH +22.5%

NOH +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOH	NBA	CHI	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.5	89.7	108.2	101.6
season	15.0	15.9		98.3	101.6
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.0	15.1	17.0	15.2	15.3
NOH	15.3	16.2	12.3	13.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-22	26	14.8	15.6	-0.79	14.4	14.3	0.08
Dalibor Bagaric	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-19	20	14.4	15.6	-1.21	12.7	14.7	-2.07
Lonny Baxter	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-15	12	15.2	15.4	-0.18	13.1	14.9	-1.84
Marcus Fizer	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-20	22	14.3	15.6	-1.27	13.9	14.4	-0.50
Eddie Robinson	52	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-17	16	15.2	15.5	-0.24	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Fred Hoiberg	35	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-14	10	14.8	15.6	-0.85	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Jamal Crawford	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-11	4	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.2	15.5	-2.28
Jay Williams	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	-7	-4	15.4	15.2	0.19	15.5	13.2	2.28
Jalen Rose	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.03	-14	-4	-10	15.6	14.8	0.85	14.6	13.9	0.69
Trenton Hassell	45	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	-1	-16	15.5	15.2	0.24	15.0	13.8	1.22
Tyson Chandler	54	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	1	-20	16.0	14.5	1.49	15.4	13.0	2.47
Eddy Curry	39	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	3	-24	15.9	15.0	0.93	14.7	14.1	0.68

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.15	28	-10	38	14.4	14.3	0.08	15.8	14.1	1.73
Stacey Augmon	53	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	1	16	14.0	14.7	-0.69	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Jamaal Magloire	52	52	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.00	16	2	14	14.8	13.8	1.03	16.2	14.4	1.75
Baron Davis	74	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	0	18	14.6	13.4	1.26	15.8	13.9	1.89
P.J. Brown	61	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	4	10	14.6	13.9	0.69	15.6	14.8	0.85
George Lynch	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	18	-18	13.8	14.5	-0.74	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Jamal Mashburn	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	17	-16	14.9	13.8	1.12	16.4	14.3	2.13
Robert Traylor	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.11	5	13	-8	14.0	14.5	-0.49	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Kirk Haston	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Jerome Moiso	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.1	14.5	-1.42	14.7	15.4	-0.69
Courtney Alexander	43	45	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	21	-24	13.8	14.8	-0.92	14.1	16.4	-2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 73, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.67,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%