NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	91		Excitement	6.6 [479]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +54.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.1 [901]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -17.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	19	60%	0.12	4	-0.09	9	100%	0.06
Baron Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	18	44%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Bryce Drew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	6	36%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55	0.55	0.35	0.20	0.00	23	89%	0.65	3	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.09	-0.01	16	68%	0.22	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	-0.03	12	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.7	32.3	19.4	21.4	3.5	44.4	151.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +70.7%

CHH -18.1%

CHH -6.1%

MIL +3.7%

CHH -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.8	15.6	101.1	107.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		102.2	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.8	16.5	18.2	14.8	16.0
MIL	12.4	16.2	17.8	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	21	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-9	11	13.7	16.7	-3.01	14.7	16.2	-1.53
Bryce Drew	8	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-4	1	15.7	16.0	-0.25	13.8	16.1	-2.30
Robert Traylor	16	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-8	9	14.6	16.3	-1.65	18.2	15.4	2.82
Lee Nailon	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-10	13	14.5	17.0	-2.46	16.6	15.3	1.31
Elden Campbell	39	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	18.7	13.9	4.75	15.6	16.1	-0.47
David Wesley	53	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	2	-11	16.6	15.1	1.48	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Jamaal Magloire	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-11	15	15.1	16.7	-1.59	17.7	14.5	3.11
Stacey Augmon	40	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.5	17.1	-2.62	16.5	15.3	1.17
P.J. Brown	47	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	4	-15	17.6	14.3	3.30	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Baron Davis	82	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-3	-1	16.0	15.7	0.25	16.1	13.8	2.30
Jamal Mashburn	69	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.20	-11	4	-15	16.1	15.7	0.34	15.4	17.4	-1.99

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.28	10	-3	13	16.0	14.7	1.20	16.1	14.9	1.21
Anthony Mason	77	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	1	5	15.6	16.9	-1.28	16.3	14.4	1.89
Ervin Johnson	54	52	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.27	3	4	-1	16.7	14.6	2.11	16.3	15.5	0.83
Glenn Robinson	64	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	3	1	15.0	17.7	-2.69	16.1	15.6	0.50
Greg Anthony	60	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	6	-5	16.7	14.1	2.65	15.7	16.5	-0.85
Sam Cassell	36	37	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.04	8	-1	9	14.4	16.8	-2.41	16.8	15.4	1.37
Darvin Ham	15	15	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	2	3	12.6	16.5	-3.89	12.5	16.7	-4.13
Joel Przybilla	31	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	6	-5	16.1	15.7	0.38	16.6	15.6	1.08
Tim Thomas	35	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	10	-13	17.3	14.9	2.34	14.7	16.8	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.88,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.98,1	93.4%
MIA 84, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.72,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.66,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
NJN 104, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.99,1	93.2%