inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 86 Excitement6.7 [473] MVPRon Mercer (IND): +14.9%
Washington Wizards 80 Comeback2.0 [618] LVPCourtney Alexander (WAS): -16.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.150.040.11-0.00956%0.1500.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0.070,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.070.01862%0.132-0.0600%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04-0.010.05-0.001858%0.143-0.10967%-0.02
Jeff Foster-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.002100%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Jonathan Bender-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.01555%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Austin Croshere-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brad Miller-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.001355%0.042-0.08560%-0.03
Kevin Ollie-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00350%0.022-0.072100%0.01
Jamaal Tinsley-0.080,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.090.00-0.01540%-0.014-0.0700%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01542%-0.042-0.05250%-0.02

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Christian Laettner0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.01-0.00-0.04560%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Bobby Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.001346%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00440%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00355%-0.021-0.02540%-0.05
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00633%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.001148%-0.021-0.051100%0.01
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00375%0.043-0.132100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.09-0.011250%-0.032-0.0600%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011133%-0.082-0.042100%0.02
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.04-0.001137%-0.102-0.07862%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.42.428.315.825.22.334.5131.1
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +67.8%
WAS -6.9%
WAS -8.2%
WAS -5.4%
IND +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDWASNBAINDWASNBA
this game17.116.215.6100.092.0102.3
season15.316.5101.6102.2
opponent15.315.4103.9100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND16.619.416.815.917.1
WAS16.115.916.016.816.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brad Miller68690.56-0.060.610.299-31217.117.3-0.2216.315.90.39
Ron Mercer37360.52-0.020.540.327-1815.918.0-2.1817.115.61.51
Reggie Miller65680.490.010.480.239-31217.416.21.2116.016.9-0.96
Kevin Ollie37370.460.040.430.4315-416.617.5-0.8516.216.2-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal78790.440.060.380.2660616.918.6-1.6816.414.61.73
Metta World Peace23230.110.39-0.29-0.0142216.517.3-0.8014.516.8-2.33
Jamaal Tinsley49500.040.46-0.43-0.1151417.516.60.8516.216.20.01
Jonathan Bender38380.010.49-0.470.07-28-1017.616.70.8016.216.20.07
Jeff Foster3131-0.060.56-0.620.14-713-2017.816.71.1516.516.00.45
Austin Croshere44-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-28-1021.016.94.0914.516.3-1.78

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyronn Lue3231-0.05-0.450.40-0.288-142215.916.4-0.5117.716.80.95
Bobby Simmons3231-0.05-0.450.40-0.288-142215.916.4-0.5117.716.80.95
Christian Laettner3736-0.06-0.440.390.15-71-815.616.6-1.0517.416.90.49
Tyrone Nesby3634-0.06-0.440.38-0.277-132015.216.9-1.6117.616.80.75
Popeye Jones3636-0.22-0.280.060.13-126-1815.816.5-0.6216.617.4-0.80
Etan Thomas5655-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.516-121816.415.70.7017.316.70.62
Kwame Brown4545-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.421-7816.715.70.9817.017.2-0.27
Courtney Alexander5253-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.04-137-2016.615.70.9016.518.0-1.50
Chris Whitney5555-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-148-2216.415.90.5116.817.7-0.95
Richard Hamilton5454-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.06-148-2216.715.41.2417.017.2-0.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.57,0.37,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.05,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 121, PHI 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,092.8%
CLE 100, DEN 920.5,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.04,092.6%
SAS 85, WAS 770.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.09,0,092.5%