NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	107		Excitement	10.3 [36]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +23.5%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	4.3 [387]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -18.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.08,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19	-0.04	0.24	0.01	20	48%	0.21	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.04
Ervin Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	7	71%	0.28	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	0.00	11	79%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,-0.02	0.06	-0.06	0.01	21	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	19	32%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.18,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.17	0.02	18	70%	0.35	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.08
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	9	80%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.08
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	12	71%	0.17	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	2	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	14	59%	0.00	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	26.2	15.6	25.3	2.6	30.3	1.6	15.2	139.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -2.8%

IND +56.3%

IND +2.6%

MIL -11.1%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.1	15.6	105.9	113.1	102.3
season	15.3	15.3		104.7	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.0		100.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	15.9	14.5	15.2	18.3	15.4	15.8
IND	16.8	14.3	14.8	21.7	11.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	50	48	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.23	2	-7	9	16.0	15.5	0.49	16.6	15.5	1.12
Greg Anthony	30	33	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-10	15	16.7	15.4	1.30	16.9	15.6	1.29
Darvin Ham	11	12	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	17.0	15.6	1.40	16.2	16.0	0.23
Joel Przybilla	33	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.00	-10	5	-15	16.2	15.5	0.73	15.9	16.1	-0.26
Tim Thomas	39	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.61	5	-10	15	14.4	16.6	-2.27	16.0	16.1	-0.04
Anthony Mason	97	95	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	15.8	15.0	0.78	16.2	13.2	2.92
Glenn Robinson	88	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	2	-9	15.4	18.4	-3.02	15.9	16.9	-0.96
Ray Allen	78	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.23	-12	7	-19	16.4	13.4	3.06	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Sam Cassell	79	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.41	-6	1	-7	15.3	17.5	-2.23	15.7	17.2	-1.51

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	21	20	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.61	6	-1	7	13.1	16.8	-3.69	13.6	16.3	-2.62
Jonathan Bender	77	78	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-3	11	15.7	17.3	-1.57	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Reggie Miller	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-2	9	15.7	17.6	-1.91	15.8	15.7	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	82	85	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	2	1	16.3	14.9	1.34	16.0	14.7	1.27
Jamaal Tinsley	48	48	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	2	1	14.9	17.1	-2.16	16.0	15.5	0.43
Kevin Ollie	42	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	10	-15	18.1	14.5	3.63	15.7	15.8	-0.15
Brad Miller	78	80	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.20	5	0	5	16.7	13.5	3.27	16.4	13.1	3.35
Austin Croshere	16	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	7	-9	16.0	16.1	-0.06	13.6	16.2	-2.53
Metta World Peace	40	43	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	10	-15	17.4	15.1	2.31	15.9	15.6	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.29,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 108, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,1	89.8%
DET 92, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.15,1	88.0%
WAS 100, ATL 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.28,0.09,0.08,1	86.9%