NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	8.8 [130]		MVP	Antonis Fotsis (MEM): +52.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	102		Comeback	2.8 [174]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -21.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14	-0.04	0.17	-0.01	16	38%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ruben Patterson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.00	7	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.10
Derek Anderson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Mitchell Butler	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.21	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Erick Barkley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	14	62%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	6	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.21	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	21	47%	-0.05	5	-0.16	5	100%	0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonis Fotsis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.52	0.52	0.06	0.46	0.00	4	100%	0.56	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.02	5	86%	0.29	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	4	58%	0.11	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Rodney Buford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	55%	0.10	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	18%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.31,-0.19,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	15	59%	0.15	5	-0.31	9	56%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.8	31.1	15.5	31.2	1.8	39.2	145.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +82.3%

POR -5.9%

MEM +7.9%

POR -36.3%

MEM +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	16.0	16.5	15.6	111.2	115.9	102.3
season	16.0	15.7		105.0	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.3	21.1	14.3	15.4	16.0
MEM	14.5	17.7	17.8	16.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	4	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-4	5	7.7	16.4	-8.66	3.0	16.8	-13.84
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	0.0	16.2	-16.20	0.0	16.5	-16.52
Shawn Kemp	24	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	13.2	17.1	-3.91	16.9	16.4	0.54
Bonzi Wells	49	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-2	1	16.4	15.5	0.95	16.1	17.0	-0.89
Mitchell Butler	22	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-3	3	15.3	16.3	-0.94	17.3	16.2	1.12
Damon Stoudamire	76	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.44	9	-12	21	15.7	18.1	-2.41	16.1	18.9	-2.77
Rasheed Wallace	78	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-6	9	16.8	10.2	6.66	16.8	14.7	2.05
Derek Anderson	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-1	-1	15.8	16.7	-0.89	16.1	17.4	-1.28
Erick Barkley	13	12	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	18.1	15.7	2.41	18.9	16.1	2.77
Ruben Patterson	43	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	0	-3	16.6	15.5	1.17	17.1	16.0	1.09
Dale Davis	72	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	2	-7	16.6	13.8	2.79	16.5	16.7	-0.17

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	74	75	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-12	27	16.8	15.2	1.56	16.5	13.3	3.25
Eddie Gill	36	38	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-10	23	16.1	16.8	-0.70	17.8	14.7	3.04
Will Solomon	43	44	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-7	17	16.6	16.5	0.11	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Antonis Fotsis	33	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	4	-5	16.8	16.4	0.42	16.0	16.0	-0.04
Pau Gasol	62	62	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.49	-11	14	-25	16.0	17.9	-1.93	16.2	15.7	0.46
Shane Battier	70	70	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	5	-7	17.0	14.5	2.54	16.2	15.4	0.83
Stromile Swift	40	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	1	1	16.9	16.2	0.78	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Jason Williams	35	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	8	-13	16.2	16.7	-0.49	16.3	15.8	0.49
Rodney Buford	47	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.07	-6	9	-15	16.0	17.1	-1.03	14.3	18.0	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.67,0.8,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.65,0.45,0.37,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 100, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.67,0.73,1	91.1%
CHA 89, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1	90.7%
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	90.2%