NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	6.3 [561]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +21.1%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.0 [912]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -9.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.11	0.00	22	61%	0.23	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Bobby Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	11	79%	0.15	3	-0.08	7	86%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	6	93%	0.16	3	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.00	16	47%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Scot Pollard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.03	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.02	13	61%	0.16	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.12	-0.07	0.06	13	77%	0.13	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.05	22	62%	0.05	4	-0.12	8	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	11	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	30.0	14.6	26.5	2.4	26.4	127.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +39.0%

SAC +16.1%

UTA -21.7%

SAC +12.9%

SAC +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	13.3	16.9	15.6	121.9	114.7	102.3
season	14.2	16.1		106.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	15.1	10.4	15.2	13.3
UTA	16.0	17.6	18.4	15.4	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	81	79	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.18	19	-11	30	13.1	14.5	-1.37	17.2	15.1	2.17
Chris Webber	82	80	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-6	20	13.6	11.5	2.12	16.2	20.2	-3.96
Peja Stojakovic	79	76	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	0	8	13.1	14.3	-1.19	16.7	17.4	-0.63
Doug Christie	88	87	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	5	-2	12.9	17.6	-4.70	16.6	20.1	-3.56
Vlade Divac	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	-4	16	11.6	15.6	-4.01	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Hedo Turkoglu	49	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	13	-18	14.2	12.4	1.74	18.3	15.3	2.98
Scot Pollard	10	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	8	-8	19.3	12.6	6.68	17.9	16.7	1.21
Gerald Wallace	7	6	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	12	-16	14.9	13.2	1.67	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Bobby Jackson	28	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	15	-22	14.2	13.0	1.22	16.7	16.9	-0.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-14	20	19.2	16.3	2.87	13.1	13.4	-0.21
John Starks	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	0	-8	20.1	16.5	3.59	14.0	13.2	0.76
DeShawn Stevenson	34	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-4	0	19.0	15.7	3.33	13.1	13.4	-0.37
Greg Ostertag	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-2	-4	18.3	16.1	2.18	12.5	13.7	-1.22
Rusty LaRue	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-10	12	16.6	17.1	-0.57	14.5	12.1	2.46
Jarron Collins	29	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	5	-18	17.7	16.5	1.24	12.7	13.5	-0.79
John Stockton	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-8	8	16.3	18.8	-2.54	13.4	13.1	0.25
Bryon Russell	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	16.3	19.3	-2.96	13.3	13.4	-0.09
Andrei Kirilenko	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-4	0	16.3	18.9	-2.64	13.1	14.2	-1.18
Donyell Marshall	77	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	1	-10	15.8	21.2	-5.38	13.4	13.1	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.08,0	93.4%
CLE 107, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%
DAL 104, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.02,0.03,0,0	92.7%