NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	80		Excitement	3.3 [1097]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +12.0%
Boston Celtics	110		Comeback	1.1 [1115]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -11.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	22	59%	0.11	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	6	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	0.02	16	45%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	19	70%	0.16	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	76%	0.10	2	-0.02	11	100%	0.04
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	8	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	-0.08	21	36%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	31.5	17.7	25.1	2.5	25.2	131.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.7%

BOS +5.0%

BOS +6.0%

BOS +7.5%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	15.6	76.9	106.8	102.3
season	15.3	15.0		104.7	100.9
opponent	15.7	16.0		98.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.3	13.4	15.2	14.3	14.5
BOS	12.3	13.3	13.0	14.5	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafer Alston	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-25	20	13.4	14.8	-1.36	16.8	12.6	4.25
Ervin Johnson	30	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.38	-15	-15	0	14.4	14.6	-0.16	12.6	13.5	-0.91
Darvin Ham	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-26	22	13.5	15.8	-2.29	13.2	13.3	-0.10
Greg Anthony	50	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.26	-14	-16	2	14.5	14.6	-0.17	13.9	12.7	1.27
Tim Thomas	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	-18	6	14.7	14.4	0.29	12.3	14.0	-1.70
Joel Przybilla	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-17	4	14.7	14.4	0.33	12.8	13.5	-0.73
Mark Pope	58	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.35	-23	-7	-16	14.3	14.8	-0.46	14.0	12.4	1.63
Sam Cassell	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.10	-17	-13	-4	14.8	14.1	0.65	12.7	14.2	-1.46
Glenn Robinson	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.08	-17	-13	-4	14.7	14.0	0.68	12.6	15.3	-2.70
Anthony Mason	82	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.41	-30	0	-30	15.2	12.1	3.06	13.7	11.7	1.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	64	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.20	26	4	22	12.2	14.9	-2.70	14.6	14.5	0.14
Antoine Walker	85	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.51	34	-4	38	13.1	13.9	-0.75	15.1	12.0	3.08
Eric Williams	80	81	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.46	30	0	30	12.6	15.4	-2.78	14.9	13.2	1.76
Tony Battie	49	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	12	6	11.8	14.6	-2.78	15.0	14.1	0.85
Erick Strickland	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	19	-8	12.4	14.1	-1.68	14.6	14.5	0.09
Tony Delk	49	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.37	19	11	8	13.6	12.9	0.69	15.2	14.0	1.22
Rodney Rogers	59	59	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	16	-2	14.0	12.3	1.74	13.8	15.5	-1.62
Walter McCarty	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.22	8	22	-14	14.7	11.9	2.84	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Mark Blount	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	34	-38	17.1	12.8	4.28	12.1	14.8	-2.75
Kedrick Brown	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	34	-38	17.1	12.8	4.28	12.1	14.8	-2.75
Joseph Forte	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	32	-34	16.0	13.0	2.96	10.4	14.9	-4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 92, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NJN 95, LAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%