NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	92		Excitement	8.1 [227]		MVP	Derek Anderson (POR): +18.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	87		Comeback	1.5 [346]		LVP	Shawn Kemp (POR): -51.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.17	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.01	11	100%	0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	6	67%	0.13	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.07
Ansu Sesay	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shammond Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Gary Payton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0	-0.02	0.04	0.01	19	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	9	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	17	63%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	11	55%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	14	53%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	15	34%	-0.11	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.51	-0.51	-0.17	-0.34	0.00	20	31%	-0.28	3	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	567.8	2.5	27.2	15.8	22.2	1.8	-685.3	-48.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +61.5%

SEA +13.8%

POR -25.2%

SEA +1.0%

POR -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	POR	NBA	SEA	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.4	15.6	103.4	97.8	102.3
season	16.0	16.0		106.3	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.8		102.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.7	15.3	17.3	16.8	16.0
POR	16.7	16.0	15.4	17.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	63	63	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.28	13	-8	21	16.6	14.6	2.01	16.9	15.0	1.97
Desmond Mason	73	73	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	0	5	16.1	15.4	0.76	16.6	15.4	1.12
Gary Payton	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	15.5	17.5	-1.93	16.1	17.3	-1.21
Brent Barry	71	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	4	-3	16.2	15.2	1.04	16.5	15.7	0.87
Predrag Drobnjak	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	-2	9	15.5	16.6	-1.14	15.7	17.2	-1.41
Vin Baker	35	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.42	-8	13	-21	14.9	16.7	-1.74	16.7	16.1	0.61
Shammond Williams	27	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	0	5	15.9	16.1	-0.21	15.4	16.8	-1.37
Olumide Oyedeji	11	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	0	5	15.5	16.1	-0.62	17.8	16.2	1.62
Randy Livingston	27	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	17.5	15.3	2.18	16.5	16.3	0.20
Ansu Sesay	22	23	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.10	-7	12	-19	16.0	16.0	0.06	15.6	16.6	-1.07

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	37	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-9	13	16.3	16.4	-0.11	16.7	15.5	1.21
Rick Brunson	20	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-9	13	15.1	16.7	-1.62	16.3	15.9	0.33
Steve Kerr	1	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-4	3	5.0	16.5	-11.49	0.5	16.4	-15.86
Chris Dudley	7	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-1	-3	17.0	16.3	0.70	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Bonzi Wells	65	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	16.2	16.7	-0.48	16.0	16.0	0.05
Derek Anderson	52	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-9	13	16.8	15.8	1.03	16.3	15.5	0.84
Dale Davis	75	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	16.2	17.0	-0.76	15.9	16.4	-0.42
Damon Stoudamire	55	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	1	-7	17.1	15.2	1.82	16.3	15.5	0.76
Shawn Kemp	71	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	0	-5	16.5	15.9	0.59	15.8	16.7	-0.84
Scottie Pippen	62	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.25	-15	10	-25	16.1	17.0	-0.92	15.8	16.4	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, ATL 81	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.24,0.05,0	92.0%
UTA 98, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.15,0	91.8%
SAS 93, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.23,0.32,0.42,0	91.1%