NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	9.1 [105]		MVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): +61.2%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	10.6 [84]		LVP	Michael Olowokandi (LAC): -17.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0.61	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.61	0.09	0.52	-0.00	13	67%	0.63	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Darius Miles	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,0.18	-0.01	0.18	-0.01	10	48%	0.25	1	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Elton Brand	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	11	66%	0.08	0	0.00	13	85%	0.04
Sean Rooks	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Doug Overton	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	0.01	-0.02	22	32%	-0.03	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.22	-0.00	2	75%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.09	0.01	11	71%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.31,-0.35,-0.38,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.04	-0.01	22	43%	0.07	4	-0.16	9	78%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	25	46%	-0.01	3	-0.13	7	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	28.0	15.4	27.5	2.4	37.5	133.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +33.4%

LAC +5.1%

LAC +20.8%

PHX -10.4%

LAC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	16.6	15.0	15.6	105.5	103.3	102.3
season	15.9	15.1		103.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.4		102.1	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.5	16.9	16.1	17.0	16.6
PHX	14.1	15.8	14.5	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	72	72	1.08	-0.58	1.66	0.58	17	-15	32	16.7	16.3	0.46	15.2	14.5	0.63
Michael Olowokandi	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-7	16	16.2	18.2	-1.99	15.0	15.1	-0.04
Sean Rooks	21	22	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.48	-1	3	-4	19.0	15.9	3.09	16.5	14.5	2.01
Darius Miles	55	55	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.53	-4	6	-10	17.2	15.8	1.40	15.9	13.7	2.20
Quentin Richardson	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.46	-5	7	-12	16.7	16.6	0.10	15.4	14.7	0.67
Eric Piatkowski	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-12	26	16.1	17.4	-1.31	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Doug Overton	32	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	-5	12	17.6	16.1	1.44	15.9	14.6	1.32
Jeff McInnis	59	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.37	-5	7	-12	16.1	17.6	-1.44	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Tremaine Fowlkes	33	33	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.29	-3	5	-8	15.8	17.1	-1.32	13.3	16.0	-2.70
Corey Maggette	15	16	-0.75	1.25	-2.01	-0.20	-19	21	-40	16.3	16.7	-0.35	13.4	15.4	-2.00

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	39	38	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.17	9	-11	20	16.1	14.2	1.85	18.1	15.6	2.54
Milt Palacio	18	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-4	6	16.0	14.8	1.22	15.2	17.0	-1.78
Jake Voskuhl	6	6	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-3	4	19.5	14.7	4.79	24.0	16.1	7.89
Bo Outlaw	48	48	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-1	0	14.9	15.2	-0.36	16.3	17.0	-0.75
Alton Ford	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-6	10	15.8	14.7	1.13	18.2	16.0	2.22
Joe Johnson	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-2	2	14.3	16.4	-2.18	16.1	17.7	-1.59
Dan Majerle	28	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-1	0	14.6	15.2	-0.60	16.2	16.8	-0.65
Stephon Marbury	73	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.47	-4	2	-6	14.8	16.0	-1.22	17.0	15.2	1.78
Jake Tsakalidis	73	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.48	-7	5	-12	14.6	16.6	-1.98	15.8	19.8	-3.93
Shawn Marion	84	85	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.40	-13	11	-24	15.1	14.4	0.64	16.4	20.5	-4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.62,0.51,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.16,0	91.6%
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	91.4%
DAL 108, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.52,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.37,0	91.0%