NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	2.6 [1200]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +6.8%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.0 [1231]		LVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): -11.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	7	70%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	14	61%	0.06	5	-0.05	10	90%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	6	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	10%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.00	-0.06	9	46%	-0.01	6	-0.10	8	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	14	40%	-0.07	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	57%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	9	76%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	33%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	25.7	15.3	28.7	2.0	29.3	127.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.5%

CLE -0.2%

UTA +6.9%

UTA +12.1%

UTA +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	13.2	16.4	15.6	92.9	115.5	102.3
season	15.8	16.1		102.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		101.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.2	13.9	12.4	13.2	13.2
UTA	16.1	15.5	15.4	18.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	34	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.16	5	-26	31	13.3	13.1	0.14	17.6	15.7	1.81
Trajan Langdon	36	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-22	23	14.3	12.5	1.75	17.3	15.8	1.52
Jumaine Jones	47	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-22	23	13.6	12.8	0.81	17.0	15.8	1.28
Bryant Stith	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-20	19	14.2	12.3	1.86	17.2	15.6	1.65
Chris Mihm	51	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	1	-23	12.8	13.6	-0.81	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Michael Doleac	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.29	-24	3	-27	12.8	13.6	-0.81	15.3	17.5	-2.15
Lamond Murray	66	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.22	-22	1	-23	12.7	14.1	-1.32	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Andre Miller	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	0	-21	13.0	13.9	-0.91	16.4	16.2	0.17
Ricky Davis	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.15	-22	1	-23	12.9	14.7	-1.88	15.7	19.7	-4.03

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	54	55	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.29	27	-6	33	15.5	17.5	-1.95	13.0	13.3	-0.31
Bryon Russell	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.32	27	-6	33	16.1	17.1	-1.01	13.7	11.7	2.08
Andrei Kirilenko	62	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.26	23	-2	25	16.1	16.8	-0.70	12.9	13.6	-0.74
John Stockton	48	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	3	15	15.9	16.9	-1.00	12.6	13.7	-1.12
Jarron Collins	26	28	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.18	16	5	11	15.1	16.8	-1.73	12.9	13.3	-0.39
Greg Ostertag	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	15	-9	17.0	16.0	1.00	14.2	12.5	1.72
Scott Padgett	57	57	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.17	-2	23	-25	16.5	16.3	0.18	13.1	13.3	-0.29
DeShawn Stevenson	56	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	20	-19	17.6	14.8	2.82	13.6	12.6	0.93
Rusty LaRue	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.33	-8	29	-37	15.7	16.8	-1.13	12.7	13.4	-0.67
John Starks	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	22	-23	18.7	15.7	2.98	12.8	13.3	-0.51
John Amaechi	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	17.5	16.1	1.32	12.4	13.3	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, SEA 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHA 59, BOS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
BOS 92, WAS 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%