inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 82 Excitement2.7 [1188] MVPHedo Turkoglu (SAC): +10.7%
Sacramento Kings 118 Comeback1.0 [1258] LVPVoshon Lenard (DEN): -5.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.01-0.071238%0.0400.002100%0.00
Donnell Harvey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.050.00-0.07650%0.042-0.014100%-0.00
Kenny Satterfield0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05430%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Mengke Bateer-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zendon Hamilton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.02756%-0.0200.001173%-0.01
Juwan Howard-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.170.00-0.131328%-0.012-0.02650%0.00
George McCloud-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.011254%0.013-0.054100%0.01
Tim Hardaway-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.05437%0.014-0.0500%0.00
Calbert Cheaney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.021145%-0.013-0.0300%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.061225%-0.0610.0000%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.010.071589%0.154-0.04580%-0.00
Doug Christie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.01679%0.0800.002100%0.01
Chris Webber0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01-0.041359%0.052-0.01875%-0.00
Mike Bibby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.01869%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02360%0.011-0.004100%0.01
Vlade Divac0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.01378%0.032-0.023100%0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00953%0.0010.0010%0.00
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.12-0.00-0.12521%0.002-0.00475%0.00
Chucky Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.051261%0.002-0.03475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.432.316.326.62.324.5126.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +38.5%
SAC +6.8%
SAC +1.9%
SAC +3.1%
DEN -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENSACNBADENSACNBA
this game16.112.915.682.0120.4102.3
season16.114.299.7106.6
opponent15.515.299.6105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.817.115.817.016.1
SAC12.813.513.012.412.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo49490.00-0.500.510.12-4-322816.515.80.6713.312.50.80
Kenny Satterfield2527-0.00-0.500.490.29-10-261617.615.71.8812.213.2-0.95
Ryan Bowen2423-0.05-0.450.390.06-4-322819.015.23.7512.713.0-0.33
Chris Andersen3938-0.10-0.400.300.25-12-241216.116.2-0.0412.613.1-0.58
Donnell Harvey3637-0.14-0.360.220.42-19-17-215.816.3-0.5412.613.1-0.46
Zendon Hamilton4241-0.25-0.250.000.13-13-231016.116.2-0.0113.112.80.37
Mengke Bateer2524-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-11-251416.416.10.2811.313.4-2.14
Juwan Howard5856-0.26-0.24-0.010.24-17-19216.316.00.3413.911.62.26
Voshon Lenard3435-0.27-0.23-0.050.40-23-13-1016.116.2-0.0012.713.0-0.39
Tim Hardaway3534-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-19214.916.8-1.9012.813.0-0.17
George McCloud6259-0.42-0.08-0.340.34-26-10-1615.916.5-0.6113.212.50.66
Calbert Cheaney7167-0.47-0.03-0.450.23-24-12-1215.318.3-3.0412.912.80.10

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Bibby58620.52-0.020.54-0.363062412.613.3-0.7015.417.3-1.88
Vlade Divac51530.50-0.000.51-0.433242812.713.1-0.3816.016.3-0.24
Hedo Turkoglu92930.450.050.40-0.6939-34212.617.5-4.8916.017.9-1.84
Doug Christie41440.380.120.26-0.181917213.012.80.1616.116.2-0.06
Chris Webber62640.370.130.25-0.3625111412.613.4-0.7215.717.0-1.33
Bobby Jackson70700.140.36-0.21-0.351719-213.611.12.5216.714.91.83
Lawrence Funderburke36360.130.37-0.25-0.201125-1413.412.60.7217.015.71.33
Gerald Wallace32300.000.50-0.49-0.20729-2212.213.2-1.0217.115.71.40
Chucky Brown20190.000.50-0.50-0.291026-1612.513.0-0.5116.316.10.20
Scot Pollard2829-0.000.50-0.510.29-1046-5614.012.51.4815.916.3-0.36


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 72, BOS 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
DEN 76, MIA 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
WAS 83, TOR 1220.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%