NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	10.3 [38]		MVP	Troy Hudson (ORL): +23.0%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	2.1 [677]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -27.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Milt Palacio	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	73%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	25	42%	0.09	3	-0.14	3	67%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	68%	0.09	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	0.05	-0.15	-0.00	24	58%	-0.01	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.19	-0.00	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.19	2	100%	0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.07	-0.00	23	72%	0.38	4	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.14	0.01	13	57%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	28	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	12	55%	0.02	2	-0.08	5	40%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	-0.01	4	25%	-0.07	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	26.9	16.8	27.7	2.5	29.4	2.3	13.6	144.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +28.8%

ORL +13.9%

PHX -2.9%

ORL +9.8%

ORL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ORL	NBA	PHX	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.6	15.6	105.6	110.2	102.3
season	15.1	14.6		101.0	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.6	12.7	13.8	17.5	17.4	14.9
ORL	13.2	13.0	13.9	19.4	14.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	42	42	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-11	17	14.8	14.9	-0.10	15.9	13.8	2.10
Milt Palacio	21	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-6	7	16.5	14.5	1.99	15.3	14.4	0.89
Jake Voskuhl	21	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	16.2	14.5	1.70	16.0	14.2	1.81
Jake Tsakalidis	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	2	-9	13.9	15.5	-1.62	11.9	16.2	-4.31
Shawn Marion	79	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.5	13.3	2.18	15.1	12.9	2.17
Anfernee Hardaway	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-7	9	14.9	14.9	0.01	15.4	12.9	2.53
Bo Outlaw	82	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-3	1	15.3	13.6	1.65	14.9	13.5	1.38
Joe Johnson	73	71	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	5	-15	13.9	16.8	-2.85	13.5	16.6	-3.16
Stephon Marbury	99	98	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.36	-7	2	-9	14.3	20.8	-6.44	14.2	18.4	-4.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	76	77	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-2	9	15.2	13.0	2.19	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Pat Garrity	84	86	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-2	9	15.7	10.7	5.02	15.5	12.3	3.26
Tracy McGrady	96	95	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	14.6	14.4	0.18	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Monty Williams	73	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	13.5	16.7	-3.21	14.9	14.8	0.06
Horace Grant	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-1	7	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.8	13.6	2.14
Patrick Ewing	14	14	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	5	-5	15.3	14.5	0.82	16.4	14.6	1.71
Don Reid	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	6	-7	11.8	15.1	-3.24	11.6	15.5	-3.83
Darrell Armstrong	76	77	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	7	-9	14.2	15.5	-1.32	13.7	17.9	-4.21
Dee Brown	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	9	-13	13.3	14.7	-1.38	12.0	15.1	-3.10
Jud Buechler	25	22	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.15	-4	9	-13	13.6	14.9	-1.27	16.8	14.4	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.68,0.75,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, NJN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.32,0.72,0.97,0.92,0.54,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.84,1	90.2%
GSW 104, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.31,0.64,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.9,0.99,0.99,1	90.0%
ORL 78, NOK 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.95,1	89.6%