NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	9.0 [115]		MVP	Steve Francis (HOU): +32.2%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.8 [508]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -18.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,0.2	-0.03	0.23	0.00	11	41%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.01	12	58%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.23,0.05	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	12	46%	0.20	1	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	19	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.02	22	42%	-0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.32	0.32	-0.03	0.35	0.00	15	53%	0.42	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	0.01	4	100%	0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.19	-0.01	10	60%	0.24	1	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	21	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.10
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.12	-0.00	9	55%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	26.1	16.3	23.7	2.6	28.0	120.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.0%

HOU +19.4%

UTA -25.8%

UTA -3.9%

HOU +18.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	100.0	103.3	102.3
season	16.1	16.8		102.9	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		106.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	17.7	16.2	15.7	16.0
HOU	16.0	14.4	14.5	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	64	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.43	9	-12	21	16.0	16.1	-0.16	15.0	15.9	-0.87
Scott Padgett	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	0	-3	17.0	15.6	1.36	13.6	16.0	-2.46
Andrei Kirilenko	51	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	16.3	15.7	0.59	15.3	15.2	0.12
Donyell Marshall	63	62	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-10	17	15.9	16.4	-0.56	15.3	15.3	-0.04
Rusty LaRue	61	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.8	14.3	1.51
Jarron Collins	39	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	14	-31	16.0	16.0	-0.01	15.8	14.9	0.91
Bryon Russell	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-2	1	16.2	15.3	0.91	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Karl Malone	78	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	1	-5	15.8	17.3	-1.48	15.4	14.4	1.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	67	67	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-8	19	15.0	16.0	-1.05	16.1	16.0	0.10
Kelvin Cato	54	56	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-7	17	15.5	14.9	0.64	15.5	16.9	-1.36
Steve Francis	84	86	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.36	10	-7	17	15.4	13.7	1.67	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Cuttino Mobley	85	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	-1	5	15.3	15.0	0.29	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Terence Morris	69	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	-2	7	14.8	16.8	-2.07	16.1	15.9	0.16
Eddie Griffin	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	12	-21	15.5	14.8	0.72	16.2	15.7	0.51
Dan Langhi	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	4	-5	13.7	15.4	-1.78	15.6	16.1	-0.53
Moochie Norris	35	34	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	-0.02	-15	18	-33	16.0	14.8	1.18	16.9	15.5	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 82, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.58,1	91.6%
NJN 84, POR 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.82,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.83,1	91.2%
NOP 93, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.69,0.61,0.51,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.68,0.63,0.68,0.84,1	91.2%