NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	7.1 [396]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +10.4%
Washington Wizards	101		Comeback	2.0 [803]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	14	73%	0.18	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	14	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	59%	0.13	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Chris Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	9	36%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	15	28%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	19	65%	0.09	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	6	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	13	63%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	7	43%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	29.3	14.6	23.7	2.2	35.6	132.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -1.6%

POR +19.2%

POR +21.0%

POR +13.3%

WAS -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.6	110.5	108.6	102.3
season	16.0	16.5		105.0	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.2	13.5	17.3	15.0	15.7
WAS	13.4	15.8	15.4	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	51	50	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-7	18	14.7	16.9	-2.20	16.3	13.3	3.02
Rasheed Wallace	88	85	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	15.8	14.0	1.84	14.9	15.6	-0.77
Damon Stoudamire	81	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	3	-2	15.4	17.4	-2.02	14.3	18.4	-4.04
Derek Anderson	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	-3	10	14.3	16.7	-2.43	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Dale Davis	72	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.36	-3	7	-10	16.9	12.0	4.83	15.2	14.0	1.27
Chris Dudley	16	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	-2	8	13.4	16.2	-2.80	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Scottie Pippen	67	65	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	7	-10	16.7	13.4	3.28	14.8	15.2	-0.47
Rick Brunson	10	9	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	-1	6	18.4	15.4	3.01	22.2	14.1	8.08
Steve Kerr	1	0	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	2	0	1.0	15.9	-14.86	0.0	14.9	-14.92
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	6	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	5	-6	10.3	16.1	-5.73	13.0	15.1	-2.06
Bonzi Wells	43	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	16.4	15.2	1.22	13.3	16.3	-3.06

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	45	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.31	15	-19	34	14.0	15.8	-1.79	17.7	13.9	3.77
Chris Whitney	55	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.28	7	-11	18	14.7	15.2	-0.48	16.9	13.9	3.02
Hubert Davis	12	12	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.05	-5	1	-6	13.9	15.1	-1.16	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Tyrone Nesby	43	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-4	4	14.2	15.6	-1.37	16.3	15.1	1.19
Christian Laettner	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.33	6	-10	16	14.7	15.3	-0.66	16.8	14.2	2.51
Richard Hamilton	76	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-8	12	15.2	13.8	1.42	15.9	14.8	1.08
Tyronn Lue	38	39	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	9	-22	15.2	14.7	0.48	13.6	17.2	-3.63
Etan Thomas	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	8	-20	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.2	17.2	-3.04
Kwame Brown	40	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	9	-22	15.2	14.7	0.57	14.5	16.5	-2.00
Courtney Alexander	55	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	15.4	14.3	1.07	14.9	17.0	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.09,0.25,0.04,0.03,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, CHA 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	93.6%
DET 91, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	93.1%
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.0%