NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	77		Excitement	3.3 [1085]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +6.8%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	1.0 [1250]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -9.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	8	63%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	6	31%	-0.04	3	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	14	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.02	-0.05	10	46%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	65%	0.03	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	53%	0.01	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	2	60%	0.02	5	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	0.04	15	44%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.3	27.0	15.0	22.2	2.3	25.6	117.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +28.0%

NJN +6.5%

NJN +15.7%

DEN -3.2%

NJN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NJN	NBA	DEN	NJN	NBA
this game	17.5	14.7	15.6	86.5	108.9	102.3
season	16.1	14.7		99.7	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.2		98.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	18.5	16.2	18.6	17.0	17.5
NJN	17.5	14.3	12.2	15.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Satterfield	33	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-19	17	17.1	17.8	-0.65	14.2	14.9	-0.69
George McCloud	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-16	11	17.8	17.2	0.62	15.3	13.8	1.47
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.15	-10	-11	1	18.4	16.8	1.60	17.0	12.8	4.20
Voshon Lenard	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-10	-1	17.2	18.1	-0.89	14.4	15.1	-0.78
James Posey	54	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-16	11	16.9	18.6	-1.72	14.8	14.4	0.41
Raef LaFrentz	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-10	-1	17.2	17.8	-0.65	14.8	14.5	0.27
Zendon Hamilton	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	-5	-11	17.7	17.2	0.54	13.1	17.1	-4.05
Calbert Cheaney	39	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-5	-11	17.2	17.8	-0.62	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Avery Johnson	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.07	-19	-2	-17	17.8	17.1	0.65	14.9	14.2	0.69

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	1	19	14.5	15.0	-0.51	17.5	17.7	-0.21
Keith Van Horn	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	6	9	14.4	15.0	-0.66	17.5	17.5	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	40	37	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	0	21	13.6	15.5	-1.88	18.9	16.5	2.38
Jason Kidd	62	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	3	15	13.9	16.4	-2.45	17.4	17.9	-0.52
Kerry Kittles	51	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	7	7	14.5	14.9	-0.36	17.9	17.1	0.83
Lucious Harris	41	41	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.17	13	8	5	15.0	14.3	0.70	18.0	17.2	0.78
Richard Jefferson	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	15	-9	15.3	14.0	1.31	17.8	17.3	0.58
Jason Collins	29	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	16	-11	16.4	13.9	2.53	17.9	17.3	0.54
Aaron Williams	21	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	26	-31	14.3	14.8	-0.50	14.4	18.4	-4.03
Brian Scalabrine	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	20	-19	14.5	14.7	-0.22	17.2	17.7	-0.46
Anthony Johnson	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.2	14.3	1.86	17.2	17.6	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
BOS 77, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 80, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%