NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	5.9 [639]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +10.3%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	6.2 [123]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -15.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.07	-0.02	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Jon Barry	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	67%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.01	0.01	19	38%	-0.06	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	89%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	19	57%	0.12	6	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	21	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	12	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	27.0	16.7	23.4	2.3	32.5	125.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.4%

DET +1.3%

DET +20.8%

NYK -2.2%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.6	114.8	103.4	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	16.7	20.1	16.2	17.3
NYK	12.5	16.8	19.9	14.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	75	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.10	20	-9	29	17.5	16.3	1.15	15.8	14.6	1.17
Ben Wallace	76	74	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-7	25	17.6	15.5	2.07	16.1	12.8	3.26
Chucky Atkins	60	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.23	5	6	-1	17.7	16.5	1.20	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Clifford Robinson	66	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	10	-9	17.7	16.0	1.71	15.1	17.4	-2.32
Jon Barry	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	4	3	16.6	18.3	-1.62	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Michael Curry	21	23	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	4	3	19.4	16.6	2.75	18.3	14.7	3.59
Damon Jones	28	28	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	5	1	16.5	17.7	-1.20	16.3	15.3	0.98
Zeljko Rebraca	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	6	-1	16.0	17.7	-1.75	16.6	15.3	1.32
Corliss Williamson	40	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	25	-39	16.2	18.2	-2.03	13.3	17.5	-4.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	36	35	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.17	11	-22	33	14.2	16.6	-2.48	16.7	17.7	-0.95
Travis Knight	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-8	5	12.6	15.9	-3.32	15.5	17.5	-1.96
Othella Harrington	50	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-15	19	15.7	15.5	0.19	17.7	16.7	1.00
Charlie Ward	49	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-12	13	14.6	17.0	-2.40	16.3	18.6	-2.28
Clar. Weatherspoon	55	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.5	15.8	-0.25	17.1	17.6	-0.45
Mark Jackson	38	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	1	-13	17.0	14.6	2.40	18.6	16.3	2.28
Latrell Sprewell	76	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	1	-13	15.9	13.4	2.58	17.5	15.7	1.78
Kurt Thomas	62	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	4	-19	16.0	14.7	1.26	17.3	17.2	0.12
Allan Houston	62	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.01	-21	10	-31	16.1	14.5	1.54	17.3	17.2	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
CHA 100, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.15,0	92.7%
DAL 103, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0	92.5%