NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Excitement	2.1 [1235]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (SAS): +3.2%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.2 [892]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -9.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	5	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Loren Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	11	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	11	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	10	25%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	16	29%	-0.07	2	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	9	68%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	3	129%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	7	55%	0.02	2	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	40%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	46%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	58%	0.02	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	7	72%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.2	27.5	17.4	28.9	1.8	31.0	131.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.3%

SAS +2.5%

SAS +4.2%

SAS +3.2%

SAS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	15.6	87.4	117.7	102.3
season	15.0	15.8		106.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		98.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.6	17.3	11.8	13.7	14.4
SAS	15.1	17.9	15.8	14.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	33	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-36	42	13.3	15.0	-1.70	18.0	14.5	3.49
Loren Woods	25	25	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	-26	22	11.8	15.4	-3.59	14.9	16.0	-1.07
Sam Mitchell	20	23	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	-23	16	15.2	14.2	1.02	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Felipe Lopez	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.20	-11	-19	8	14.0	14.7	-0.72	16.3	15.4	0.95
Terrell Brandon	24	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.15	-13	-17	4	15.5	14.1	1.42	16.9	15.3	1.56
Chauncey Billups	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.19	-16	-14	-2	13.9	15.2	-1.35	14.5	17.4	-2.94
Anthony Peeler	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.15	-16	-14	-2	13.9	15.4	-1.52	14.7	17.4	-2.73
Rasho Nesterovic	58	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.24	-20	-10	-10	15.4	12.9	2.54	15.9	15.4	0.49
Gary Trent	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.50	-29	-1	-28	14.5	14.4	0.13	14.7	17.0	-2.30
Wally Szczerbiak	71	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	-12	-6	14.4	14.5	-0.13	16.1	14.7	1.34
Kevin Garnett	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-8	-14	16.3	12.8	3.54	16.9	14.7	2.17

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.45	32	-2	34	15.8	15.5	0.31	14.8	13.8	0.97
David Robinson	61	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.31	23	7	16	15.6	15.9	-0.32	15.3	12.8	2.52
Terry Porter	30	28	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.34	23	7	16	13.6	16.7	-3.07	15.7	13.9	1.80
Malik Rose	37	39	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	17	-4	15.6	15.8	-0.14	14.5	14.4	0.16
Charles Smith	76	74	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.14	14	16	-2	15.9	15.1	0.77	14.6	13.8	0.81
Tim Duncan	40	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	14	2	16.6	15.0	1.61	16.3	13.2	3.17
Steven Smith	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	20	-10	15.6	15.8	-0.15	14.3	14.5	-0.21
Tony Parker	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	23	-16	16.7	13.6	3.07	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Cherokee Parks	34	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.19	7	23	-16	15.4	15.9	-0.41	12.6	15.4	-2.79
Mark Bryant	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	32	-34	16.3	15.7	0.67	10.2	14.7	-4.56
Amal McCaskill	14	14	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	27	-24	14.1	16.0	-1.83	11.1	15.0	-3.87
Stephen Jackson	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	26	-22	14.4	15.9	-1.48	12.2	14.8	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 66, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
POR 82, DET 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHA 73, WAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%