NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	97		Excitement	6.9 [438]		MVP	A.J. Guyton (CHI): +22.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	15.0 [17]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -24.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.01	12	58%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	5	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	10	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.13	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	16	50%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.03	0.04	8	78%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.03	20	55%	0.05	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	45%	-0.07	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	9	37%	-0.04	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	11	54%	-0.07	3	-0.17	17	76%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.0	1.8	27.2	15.7	28.8	1.8	30.0	139.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.9%

SEA -10.1%

CHI +0.9%

CHI +24.0%

SEA -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.3	15.6	107.8	100.0	102.3
season	15.6	16.0		96.3	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	16.0	16.9	16.6	16.6
SEA	13.2	16.0	15.1	16.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	64	66	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.36	18	-12	30	16.2	17.5	-1.24	14.9	16.1	-1.14
A.J. Guyton	46	48	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.27	19	-13	32	15.6	17.6	-2.07	16.3	14.1	2.20
Brad Miller	70	73	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.28	18	-12	30	16.5	16.7	-0.16	15.0	16.2	-1.14
Marcus Fizer	47	46	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.39	6	0	6	16.8	16.3	0.48	16.6	13.9	2.65
Trenton Hassell	47	47	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	17.1	16.0	1.02	16.5	14.0	2.51
Eddie Robinson	45	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	16.2	17.0	-0.84	13.7	17.0	-3.27
Tyson Chandler	43	45	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	6	-6	16.3	16.8	-0.48	13.9	16.6	-2.65
Dalibor Bagaric	19	17	-0.30	0.81	-1.11	0.02	-11	17	-28	17.5	16.3	1.20	16.7	14.9	1.79
Kevin Ollie	45	44	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.08	-14	20	-34	17.3	15.9	1.38	13.9	16.5	-2.56
Fred Hoiberg	24	21	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	18	-30	17.4	16.3	1.09	17.0	14.7	2.33

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Art Long	11	11	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.06	1	-7	8	16.6	15.1	1.57	20.0	16.1	3.90
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	47	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-6	6	14.5	16.2	-1.70	15.5	17.7	-2.23
Earl Watson	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-3	0	18.3	14.3	3.98	17.7	16.2	1.52
Predrag Drobnjak	26	23	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	14.2	15.7	-1.43	15.2	17.1	-1.89
Jerome James	5	4	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	3	-12	22.2	14.8	7.35	16.0	16.6	-0.60
Gary Payton	85	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	14.8	21.8	-7.05	16.7	15.3	1.40
Vin Baker	62	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-8	10	15.4	14.9	0.52	17.0	15.5	1.52
Desmond Mason	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-3	0	16.4	13.9	2.59	16.8	16.3	0.46
Rashard Lewis	71	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-2	-2	14.5	17.9	-3.46	16.7	16.1	0.60
Brent Barry	75	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	5	-16	14.9	16.9	-2.04	16.1	18.9	-2.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.47,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.21,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	91.6%
LAL 84, SAC 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.05,0,0,0	91.2%
MEM 85, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	91.2%