NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	6.4 [516]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +7.3%
Sacramento Kings	72		Comeback	5.4 [104]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -34.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	12	59%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Mike Penberthy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Brian Shaw	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	11	54%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.25	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.23,-0.25,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.19	-0.05	0.01	21	40%	-0.18	3	-0.07	15	47%	-0.14

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	71%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	12	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	12	38%	-0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	10	35%	-0.09	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.28,-0.32,-0.33,-0.33,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.28	-0.10	-0.03	26	28%	-0.20	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.4	31.4	19.5	25.3	2.7	40.2	147.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +46.3%

SAC -5.5%

SAC -24.8%

LAL +33.4%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.5	90.3	76.6	100.9
season	15.6	14.4		106.8	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.2		97.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	17.0	18.6	13.0	15.8
SAC	13.3	16.5	15.0	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	29	29	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	2	8	15.8	15.9	-0.12	15.9	14.6	1.34
Robert Horry	29	29	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-3	18	14.3	16.5	-2.17	15.3	14.8	0.49
Mike Penberthy	24	24	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.25	11	1	10	15.5	15.9	-0.40	15.2	14.9	0.27
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	1	10	15.4	17.0	-1.53	15.5	13.6	1.92
Isaiah Rider	19	19	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	8	-4	16.8	15.6	1.26	18.2	14.1	4.06
Brian Shaw	74	75	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.13	8	4	4	15.6	16.8	-1.26	14.1	18.2	-4.06
Mark Madsen	5	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	16	-20	10.6	16.1	-5.54	5.7	15.4	-9.63
Derek Fisher	69	71	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	9	-6	15.9	15.5	0.40	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Greg Foster	13	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.07	0	12	-12	22.2	14.8	7.43	18.4	14.3	4.08
Horace Grant	67	67	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.23	4	8	-4	16.3	14.7	1.59	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Rick Fox	68	69	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.15	-2	14	-16	15.6	16.4	-0.71	14.0	17.6	-3.53

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	52	51	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-13	14	14.7	15.2	-0.49	16.5	15.1	1.36
Art Long	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	7.8	15.4	-7.57	10.4	16.1	-5.75
Doug Christie	72	72	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-7	2	14.5	16.6	-2.18	16.0	15.4	0.59
Vlade Divac	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-8	4	15.9	13.7	2.14	16.4	15.0	1.46
Hedo Turkoglu	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-8	4	15.0	14.9	0.10	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Scot Pollard	28	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	16.1	14.5	1.57	16.4	15.6	0.79
Peja Stojakovic	72	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.3	17.0	-2.71	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Jon Barry	25	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-9	6	15.5	14.8	0.75	14.8	16.2	-1.37
Chris Webber	91	89	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	4	-20	15.2	7.3	7.89	16.0	12.0	4.01
Bobby Jackson	42	42	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.24	-13	1	-14	15.2	14.7	0.49	15.1	16.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.53,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	93.0%
MIN 97, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.57,0.63,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.02,0.06,0.01,0	92.4%
TOR 111, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.01,0	92.3%