NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	2.3 [1222]		MVP	Antonio Davis (TOR): +6.9%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	1.0 [625]		LVP	Rasho Nesterovic (MIN): -5.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Loren Woods	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	7	73%	-0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	10	59%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	13	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	57%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	14	44%	-0.01	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	9	25%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	9	56%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	6	80%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	53%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	22	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	10	40%	-0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	27.4	17.3	25.4	2.5	37.4	132.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +34.7%

TOR +3.7%

TOR +10.3%

TOR +1.5%

MIN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	16.7	15.6	105.3	116.3	102.3
season	15.0	16.2		106.7	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.1		100.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.0	16.4	13.2	12.6	14.2
TOR	20.2	15.5	17.4	14.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Felipe Lopez	19	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-25	43	11.7	14.8	-3.07	12.6	17.6	-5.09
Maurice Evans	34	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.45	15	-22	37	12.3	15.3	-3.00	14.3	17.9	-3.56
Dean Garrett	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.41	13	-20	33	12.4	14.8	-2.37	12.0	18.1	-6.05
Chauncey Billups	62	60	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.51	13	-20	33	13.3	15.9	-2.68	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Sam Mitchell	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-2	-3	14.3	14.1	0.23	20.4	14.6	5.76
Loren Woods	44	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-10	13	14.2	14.2	0.07	15.0	18.0	-3.07
Rasho Nesterovic	58	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	1	-9	14.3	14.0	0.27	17.6	15.1	2.48
Anthony Peeler	25	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	13	-33	15.7	13.6	2.08	16.8	16.6	0.26
Terrell Brandon	54	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.14	-18	11	-29	15.1	13.0	2.14	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Kevin Garnett	63	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	17	-41	14.9	12.8	2.12	18.7	12.7	5.99
Wally Szczerbiak	61	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.15	-22	15	-37	15.3	12.3	3.00	17.9	14.3	3.56

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	58	59	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.25	25	-18	43	18.5	13.5	5.05	15.0	12.9	2.14
Jerome Williams	48	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	19.7	13.3	6.43	14.5	13.8	0.66
Keon Clark	49	51	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-6	19	15.9	17.5	-1.53	15.1	13.1	1.96
Antonio Davis	63	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	-11	29	18.0	13.8	4.12	14.3	14.0	0.33
Chris Childs	46	47	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-8	23	15.5	17.8	-2.35	15.6	12.8	2.78
Alvin Williams	63	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	-6	19	17.7	14.4	3.32	14.2	14.1	0.13
Hakeem Olajuwon	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	0	7	19.2	14.2	4.99	14.8	13.7	1.12
Dell Curry	36	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.55	-18	25	-43	13.6	18.6	-5.09	13.1	14.9	-1.89
Michael Bradley	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	7.8	17.7	-9.93	10.9	14.6	-3.71
Eric Montross	10	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	7.8	17.7	-9.93	10.9	14.6	-3.71
Tracy Murray	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	20	-33	11.9	17.5	-5.66	10.9	14.8	-3.95
Jermaine Jackson	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.53	-18	25	-43	12.6	17.6	-5.09	11.7	14.8	-3.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 83, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CLE 79, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
BOS 82, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%