NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	111		Excitement	1.7 [1254]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +8.6%
New York Knicks	68		Comeback	1.1 [558]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -13.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	10	67%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.06	12	86%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	91%	0.02	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	11	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.13	0.00	-0.11	9	22%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	9	48%	-0.03	3	-0.03	9	56%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.13	0.00	-0.13	8	12%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	17	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	15	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.20	-0.02	-0.09	9	0%	-0.10	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	31.1	17.3	25.5	1.8	24.4	127.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +32.6%

CHH +4.5%

CHH +6.9%

CHH +4.1%

CHH +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NYK	NBA	CHH	NYK	NBA
this game	14.7	16.8	15.6	120.7	74.7	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		102.2	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.2	15.1	13.5	17.2	14.7
NYK	18.9	16.2	16.5	15.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	66	65	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.70	41	2	39	13.8	16.9	-3.04	17.3	15.6	1.68
David Wesley	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.76	41	2	39	13.6	17.0	-3.40	17.2	15.9	1.35
Lee Nailon	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.79	41	2	39	12.9	17.7	-4.76	17.5	15.5	2.08
P.J. Brown	37	36	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.65	34	9	25	13.6	15.4	-1.81	18.5	15.7	2.80
Elden Campbell	43	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.50	27	16	11	14.8	14.6	0.20	17.2	16.4	0.76
Jamaal Magloire	34	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.20	14	29	-15	13.2	15.6	-2.43	17.7	16.2	1.42
Robert Traylor	55	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	34	-25	15.4	13.6	1.81	15.7	18.5	-2.80
George Lynch	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	41	-39	17.7	12.9	4.76	15.5	17.5	-2.08
Bryce Drew	29	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	41	-39	17.0	13.6	3.40	15.9	17.2	-1.35
Matt Bullard	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	41	-39	17.7	14.2	3.55	13.3	17.4	-4.13
Kirk Haston	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	41	-39	17.9	14.1	3.78	13.6	17.4	-3.81
Stacey Augmon	12	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	43	-43	15.9	14.5	1.39	18.2	16.6	1.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-41	39	15.5	17.2	-1.69	17.2	13.9	3.31
Lavor Postell	27	28	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-42	41	14.5	17.7	-3.22	16.3	14.0	2.32
Clar. Weatherspoon	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	-34	25	17.2	16.5	0.72	15.2	14.4	0.74
Shandon Anderson	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-32	21	18.4	16.1	2.33	14.6	14.8	-0.18
Marcus Camby	41	41	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	0.52	-23	-20	-3	17.0	16.6	0.31	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Mark Jackson	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.48	-24	-19	-5	16.6	16.9	-0.35	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Charlie Ward	50	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.28	-19	-24	5	16.9	16.6	0.35	15.0	14.3	0.74
Othella Harrington	50	51	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	-23	3	16.6	17.0	-0.31	15.2	14.1	1.14
Latrell Sprewell	45	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.50	-31	-12	-19	17.2	16.4	0.79	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Kurt Thomas	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.57	-34	-9	-25	16.5	17.2	-0.72	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Allan Houston	60	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.77	-41	-2	-39	17.2	15.9	1.28	13.5	17.0	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 114, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
MIA 82, CHI 49	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
WAS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%