NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	80		Excitement	4.5 [905]		MVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): +14.3%
Utah Jazz	95		Comeback	1.6 [759]		LVP	Desmond Mason (SEA): -20.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	7	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shammond Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	14	72%	0.13	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	14	39%	-0.08	2	-0.07	5	20%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.20	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.06	7	-0.15	6	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.03	0.03	9	92%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	11	60%	0.07	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.05	12	52%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	12	61%	0.07	6	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	28.3	15.4	22.5	2.3	27.3	126.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.2%

UTA +8.6%

UTA +13.3%

UTA +8.5%

UTA +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	16.4	17.1	15.6	93.0	110.5	102.3
season	16.0	16.1		106.3	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	15.3	17.2	16.9	16.4
UTA	17.3	16.0	16.3	19.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	19	18	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-25	35	14.2	17.0	-2.77	16.5	17.3	-0.78
Olumide Oyedeji	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.2	16.5	-2.37	17.3	17.1	0.18
Jerome James	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	14.2	16.5	-2.37	17.3	17.1	0.18
Earl Watson	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-20	25	15.5	16.9	-1.39	17.1	17.1	-0.08
Shammond Williams	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.17	-10	-5	-5	18.1	16.0	2.12	20.0	16.6	3.40
Brent Barry	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-12	9	15.9	17.8	-1.93	17.3	16.6	0.64
Rashard Lewis	64	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-6	-3	16.2	16.7	-0.48	17.0	17.3	-0.26
Vladimir Radmanovic	35	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-7	-1	16.8	16.1	0.72	17.0	17.2	-0.14
Desmond Mason	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-13	11	15.8	17.2	-1.41	16.6	17.9	-1.29
Art Long	23	21	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	3	-21	18.7	15.5	3.11	16.3	17.4	-1.10
Vin Baker	48	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.06	-24	9	-33	17.1	15.5	1.56	17.4	16.7	0.77
Gary Payton	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.12	-26	11	-37	16.9	13.6	3.35	17.1	17.3	-0.26

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	61	61	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.14	27	-12	39	17.1	17.2	-0.06	16.8	15.3	1.54
Jarron Collins	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	2	11	17.1	17.2	-0.06	16.9	15.4	1.54
DeShawn Stevenson	45	45	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.15	10	5	5	15.9	18.5	-2.62	16.8	15.9	0.99
John Stockton	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-1	17	18.0	15.3	2.66	16.3	16.5	-0.16
Bryon Russell	53	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	3	9	17.1	17.2	-0.11	16.8	15.7	1.05
Andrei Kirilenko	28	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	8	-1	17.3	17.0	0.25	16.0	16.6	-0.62
John Starks	48	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	12	-9	17.6	16.5	1.10	16.7	15.9	0.79
Greg Ostertag	22	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	17	-19	15.4	17.7	-2.36	15.2	16.8	-1.56
John Crotty	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.01	-1	16	-17	16.4	17.3	-0.93	14.7	16.9	-2.26
John Amaechi	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	19	-23	17.3	17.1	0.18	12.9	16.7	-3.83
Scott Padgett	35	34	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	21	-27	18.1	16.5	1.63	15.9	16.7	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.77,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 104, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 86, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BKN 91, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%