NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	80		Excitement	4.5 [898]		MVP	Zendon Hamilton (DEN): +3.5%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	1.2 [1068]		LVP	Raef LaFrentz (DEN): -11.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zendon Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George McCloud	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	28	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	9	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	12	64%	0.08	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	16	44%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	13	45%	-0.00	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	23.4	15.8	22.2	2.4	26.4	116.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +24.3%

CHH +11.5%

CHH +15.3%

DEN -2.7%

CHH +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHH	NBA	DEN	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	15.6	87.9	102.2	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		99.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.8	18.1	13.6	18.8	15.5
CHH	15.3	16.2	14.6	18.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Andersen	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Kenny Satterfield	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	15.2	15.5	-0.33	14.4	16.0	-1.65
Calbert Cheaney	29	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-17	20	16.0	15.3	0.76	17.7	15.1	2.54
George McCloud	35	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-15	16	15.5	15.5	-0.00	15.5	16.2	-0.77
Ryan Bowen	29	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-12	10	15.7	15.5	0.20	16.4	15.7	0.70
Avery Johnson	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-7	0	15.9	15.4	0.53	15.3	16.2	-0.81
Zendon Hamilton	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	17.5	14.3	3.20	16.6	15.5	1.08
Raef LaFrentz	55	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-4	-6	14.9	16.4	-1.54	15.6	16.4	-0.79
Scott Williams	34	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	0	-14	14.8	16.0	-1.20	15.8	16.1	-0.29
James Posey	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-4	-6	15.1	16.9	-1.74	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Voshon Lenard	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	1	-16	15.6	15.4	0.26	15.4	16.7	-1.24
Nick Van Exel	80	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	0	-14	15.4	16.6	-1.27	16.1	15.0	1.09

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	74	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.03	19	-5	24	15.8	16.6	-0.74	15.2	16.8	-1.64
Baron Davis	78	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-7	28	15.8	17.0	-1.23	15.6	15.1	0.50
Elden Campbell	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.17	22	-8	30	15.7	16.5	-0.82	16.4	13.8	2.59
David Wesley	81	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.13	6	8	-2	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Stacey Augmon	31	29	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	3	8	14.9	16.5	-1.59	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Lee Nailon	62	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	9	-4	16.5	14.9	1.52	15.9	14.6	1.31
Bryce Drew	25	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	13	-12	16.5	15.7	0.77	16.2	15.3	1.00
Jamaal Magloire	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.17	-5	19	-24	16.8	15.6	1.17	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Kirk Haston	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.5	16.0	-1.52	10.3	15.7	-5.36
Jerome Moiso	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	14.5	16.0	-1.52	10.3	15.7	-5.36
Robert Traylor	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	18	-22	17.4	15.7	1.66	17.5	15.2	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 75, NYK 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
ORL 87, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%