NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	74		Excitement	4.7 [871]		MVP	Dalibor Bagaric (CHI): +3.8%
Dallas Mavericks	89		Comeback	1.0 [1251]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (CHI): -16.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dalibor Bagaric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	4	80%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.03	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	20	46%	-0.06	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	8	11%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Metta World Peace	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	15	38%	-0.10	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	3	62%	0.01	6	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	12	75%	0.08	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	13	33%	-0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	25.2	15.6	25.2	2.3	29.5	124.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +33.9%

CHI -4.2%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +16.3%

DAL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.6	77.9	93.7	102.3
season	15.6	14.8		96.3	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	15.0	17.1	13.5	14.9
DAL	13.3	16.3	17.1	15.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	14	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-19	23	13.8	15.1	-1.31	15.5	15.4	0.06
Eddy Curry	16	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-16	17	14.1	15.1	-1.01	16.7	15.1	1.55
Fred Hoiberg	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-17	19	15.4	14.6	0.74	16.2	15.0	1.28
Trenton Hassell	42	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-12	9	13.6	15.9	-2.26	15.6	15.3	0.28
Metta World Peace	58	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-11	7	15.8	13.5	2.37	16.4	13.7	2.64
Tyson Chandler	43	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-10	5	14.7	15.1	-0.34	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Marcus Fizer	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.16	-18	3	-21	15.4	14.3	1.09	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Kevin Ollie	65	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.07	-17	2	-19	14.7	15.3	-0.58	15.5	15.3	0.16
Ron Mercer	79	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	14.9	14.9	0.04	14.7	18.8	-4.09
Brad Miller	69	69	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	6	-27	15.0	14.7	0.35	15.1	16.3	-1.18

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	58	60	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.15	25	-10	35	15.3	15.6	-0.39	15.7	13.5	2.29
Juwan Howard	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-3	21	14.4	17.3	-2.92	14.0	16.6	-2.55
Adrian Griffin	49	48	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	9	-3	15.6	15.2	0.33	16.3	13.5	2.76
Evan Eschmeyer	33	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	3	9	14.9	15.7	-0.81	14.6	15.1	-0.47
Tim Hardaway	56	54	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	10	-5	15.7	15.1	0.61	14.3	15.7	-1.33
Eduardo Najera	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	13	-11	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.9	12.8	3.12
Steve Nash	57	58	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	10	-5	15.5	15.2	0.29	15.6	13.8	1.88
Shawn Bradley	31	31	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	13	-11	15.9	15.2	0.68	14.3	15.2	-0.96
Danny Manning	33	33	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	12	-9	16.4	14.9	1.51	13.8	15.5	-1.76
Michael Finley	8	9	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	6	3	12.0	15.7	-3.72	12.8	15.1	-2.35
Wang Zhi-zhi	5	6	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	20	-25	13.6	15.5	-1.91	16.2	14.8	1.35
Donnell Harvey	18	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	22	-29	17.0	15.0	1.96	11.4	15.7	-4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, NOP 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOH 76, UTA 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
GSW 71, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%