NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	3.8 [1024]		MVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): +7.7%
Detroit Pistons	75		Comeback	1.3 [492]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -23.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	78%	0.12	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Kerry Kittles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	7	53%	0.04	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Goodrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	8	37%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	11	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	8	52%	-0.01	3	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.15,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.20	-0.06	-0.03	20	38%	-0.06	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.8	2.3	26.6	15.7	25.3	2.7	27.3	119.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.8%

NJN +7.8%

DET -6.8%

NJN +26.0%

NJN +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.6	95.7	82.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.7		101.4	101.9
opponent	15.8	16.0		99.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.6	15.7	15.2	17.8	15.6
DET	17.7	14.3	17.5	14.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-4	21	15.2	16.4	-1.24	17.0	13.7	3.30
Kerry Kittles	55	53	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	2	9	15.2	16.1	-0.91	17.4	13.8	3.60
Kenyon Martin	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	0	13	15.1	16.3	-1.12	16.6	14.9	1.71
Keith Van Horn	48	49	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	5	3	15.2	16.0	-0.79	16.8	14.9	1.96
Todd MacCulloch	46	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	9	-5	15.4	15.7	-0.30	17.0	14.8	2.20
Aaron Williams	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	0	13	16.0	15.2	0.71	15.0	16.7	-1.69
Richard Jefferson	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	9	-5	15.8	15.4	0.39	14.8	16.8	-1.97
Jason Collins	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	12	-11	16.0	15.3	0.68	14.9	16.6	-1.69
Lucious Harris	33	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	7	-1	16.5	15.1	1.39	13.9	17.1	-3.19
Derrick Dial	30	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	17	-21	16.4	15.2	1.24	13.7	17.0	-3.30
Steve Goodrich	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	17.4	15.5	1.94	13.0	16.0	-3.05
Brandon Armstrong	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	13.2	15.7	-2.42	13.0	16.0	-3.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-21	29	13.0	16.2	-3.15	20.1	15.2	4.95
Rodney White	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-21	29	13.1	16.2	-3.06	18.9	15.2	3.68
Mikki Moore	24	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-16	19	14.5	16.4	-1.97	17.2	15.0	2.24
Zeljko Rebraca	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-20	27	13.6	17.3	-3.71	16.3	15.1	1.16
Chucky Atkins	41	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-7	1	14.6	17.0	-2.33	15.8	15.3	0.49
Jon Barry	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-3	-7	14.4	17.1	-2.73	15.4	15.7	-0.34
Corliss Williamson	37	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	15.2	16.4	-1.17	16.7	14.8	1.95
Michael Curry	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-12	11	17.4	14.9	2.54	15.4	15.7	-0.36
Clifford Robinson	62	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	5	-23	16.6	14.4	2.15	14.7	17.4	-2.77
Dana Barros	43	43	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	17.6	14.4	3.21	14.6	16.4	-1.89
Jerry Stackhouse	66	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	4	-21	16.8	13.6	3.19	14.7	17.6	-2.99
Ben Wallace	56	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	7	-27	17.1	14.0	3.15	15.4	15.8	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 108, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
ORL 97, DAL 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%