NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	74		Excitement	3.0 [1136]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +6.1%
Sacramento Kings	89		Comeback	1.1 [1125]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -15.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	48%	0.00	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	42%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-0.07	12	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	0.00	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.18	0.01	0.13	8	106%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	72%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	17	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	9	35%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.00	-0.06	20	35%	-0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	2.6	22.5	15.6	23.1	2.4	28.5	115.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +30.7%

SAC +0.5%

SAC +3.7%

SAC +15.0%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	15.6	79.6	96.7	102.3
season	16.0	14.2		105.0	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	18.0	15.6	16.9	16.5
SAC	12.4	14.7	17.1	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitchell Butler	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	14.5	16.9	-2.43	12.2	15.0	-2.82
Steve Kerr	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-14	13	16.4	16.6	-0.19	12.4	14.8	-2.32
Zach Randolph	21	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-15	15	16.3	16.6	-0.34	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Rick Brunson	30	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-13	11	17.2	16.3	0.91	13.4	15.2	-1.84
Derek Anderson	51	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.27	5	-20	25	16.8	16.2	0.65	15.5	13.3	2.15
Ruben Boumtje-Boumtje	32	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-7	-1	17.8	15.9	1.97	13.4	15.2	-1.84
Dale Davis	61	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-8	1	15.9	17.8	-1.97	15.2	13.4	1.84
Ruben Patterson	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-1	-13	16.7	16.2	0.53	15.2	13.2	2.01
Damon Stoudamire	72	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	2	-19	16.2	17.7	-1.51	14.8	13.8	1.06
Bonzi Wells	40	38	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	2	-19	16.8	16.4	0.40	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	0	-15	16.6	16.3	0.34	15.0	13.2	1.80

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	54	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	-1	17	14.1	15.2	-1.08	17.1	15.7	1.46
Doug Christie	60	62	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	3	9	14.8	14.1	0.79	16.7	16.3	0.34
Hedo Turkoglu	41	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	10	-5	14.2	14.9	-0.73	17.5	15.8	1.68
Vlade Divac	57	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	4	7	15.0	13.9	1.11	16.7	16.4	0.31
Peja Stojakovic	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	0	15	14.8	13.8	0.99	16.4	17.1	-0.77
Bobby Jackson	34	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	-2	19	14.6	14.6	-0.03	18.7	15.3	3.45
Chris Webber	66	66	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	3	9	14.7	14.3	0.37	16.6	16.4	0.20
Mike Bibby	55	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	1	13	14.6	14.6	-0.03	16.2	17.1	-0.95
Brent Price	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	24	-33	13.6	14.7	-1.09	9.3	17.0	-7.71
Gerald Wallace	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	24	-33	13.6	14.7	-1.09	9.3	17.0	-7.71
Mateen Cleaves	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	24	-33	13.6	14.7	-1.09	9.3	17.0	-7.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, CLE 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
ORL 102, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
DEN 105, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	96.5%