NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	5.2 [775]		MVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): +31.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.2 [670]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -11.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.19	0.11	-0.02	20	78%	0.36	3	-0.04	9	89%	0.07
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06	0.11	-0.02	0.03	7	95%	0.16	2	-0.10	5	80%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	5	75%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	13	69%	0.06	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.05	6	77%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	12	62%	0.03	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.4	24.3	15.4	25.8	2.0	37.2	129.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.7%

CLE -2.6%

CLE -9.5%

CLE -1.8%

IND +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	122.5	114.4	102.3
season	15.3	15.8		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		106.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	17.1	16.0	15.8	15.9
CLE	17.3	17.2	15.3	15.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	54	55	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-7	20	15.0	17.2	-2.23	16.7	15.7	1.01
Jermaine O'Neal	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	15.5	19.1	-3.60	15.6	21.6	-5.96
Reggie Miller	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	4	-2	14.6	18.4	-3.76	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Jamaal Tinsley	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	2	2	16.3	14.3	1.97	16.3	16.2	0.14
Jonathan Bender	47	47	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	6	-6	17.6	13.9	3.69	17.4	15.1	2.27
Carlos Rogers	17	18	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	1	4	20.4	14.8	5.61	19.9	15.4	4.56
Jeff Foster	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	3	0	15.3	16.3	-0.93	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Jalen Rose	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	8	-10	14.9	17.9	-3.05	15.2	18.7	-3.47
Travis Best	21	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	8	-10	17.1	15.5	1.60	17.2	16.0	1.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryant Stith	13	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-13	20	13.2	16.8	-3.68	12.0	16.6	-4.60
Lamond Murray	46	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-2	-2	16.4	16.2	0.14	16.0	15.7	0.34
Andre Miller	73	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	15.7	18.7	-2.97	15.5	17.4	-1.83
Ricky Davis	29	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	0	-6	18.2	15.4	2.81	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Wesley Person	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.32	2	-8	10	15.7	18.6	-2.96	16.0	15.2	0.82
Bimbo Coles	17	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	3	-12	18.7	15.7	2.97	17.4	15.5	1.83
Chris Mihm	74	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-6	6	15.8	18.7	-2.98	15.2	19.1	-3.84
Brian Skinner	38	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	2	-10	17.9	15.1	2.81	17.3	14.8	2.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	27	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	3	-12	16.2	16.3	-0.16	17.6	15.2	2.40
Jumaine Jones	62	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	0	-6	16.4	16.0	0.38	15.7	16.3	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.08,0	94.4%
POR 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.23,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CHH 92, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0	94.0%