NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	7.8 [272]		MVP	Jason Williams (MEM): +33.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	114		Comeback	4.1 [86]		LVP	Robert Horry (LAL): -21.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	50%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.03,0.04	0.15	-0.07	0.04	23	71%	0.17	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	25	46%	-0.02	1	-0.05	7	57%	-0.12
Rick Fox	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	57%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	8	28%	-0.06	3	-0.16	2	100%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.13	0.25	0.05	17	68%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.00	10	91%	0.26	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	1	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	17	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.08
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	11	42%	-0.15	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	27.4	16.4	25.6	2.5	34.2	132.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +11.2%

MEM +13.2%

LAL -31.8%

MEM +54.3%

MEM +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.6	112.5	120.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.7		106.9	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	13.7	16.0	14.7	14.7
MEM	16.2	15.1	16.7	14.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	15	15	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-10	14	11.9	15.2	-3.34	17.4	15.1	2.29
Mitch Richmond	13	12	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	14.7	14.7	0.01	16.7	15.3	1.37
Devean George	35	34	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.7	-0.05	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Brian Shaw	20	20	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-3	0	14.5	14.7	-0.24	16.2	15.3	0.98
Lindsey Hunter	19	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.7	0.13	14.5	15.7	-1.25
Samaki Walker	44	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	15.1	14.3	0.79	16.6	14.4	2.22
Derek Fisher	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-9	12	14.8	14.5	0.35	15.9	14.6	1.23
Robert Horry	49	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	14.8	14.6	0.14	14.0	17.1	-3.09
Rick Fox	61	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.51	-1	-5	4	14.7	14.7	0.05	15.9	14.8	1.10
Shaquille O'Neal	84	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	1	-8	14.9	13.0	1.93	15.4	16.1	-0.70
Kobe Bryant	75	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	14.6	15.0	-0.34	15.0	17.3	-2.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-3	12	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.8	14.4	0.36
Jason Williams	62	63	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.54	1	5	-4	15.6	15.3	0.26	14.5	15.0	-0.52
Pau Gasol	69	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.42	1	5	-4	15.3	15.8	-0.51	13.9	16.7	-2.80
Shane Battier	81	81	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.39	-2	8	-10	15.6	14.6	0.97	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Ike Austin	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	10	-14	16.4	14.3	2.10	14.8	14.5	0.26
Stromile Swift	48	47	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-2	10	15.0	16.0	-1.04	14.5	14.9	-0.43
Tony Massenburg	21	23	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-1	8	14.8	15.7	-0.91	17.2	13.9	3.27
Rodney Buford	33	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	1	4	15.0	15.7	-0.77	14.7	14.7	0.09
Brevin Knight	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.21	5	1	4	15.3	15.6	-0.26	15.0	14.5	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.85,1	92.3%
MEM 89, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.85,0.99,1	92.2%
PHI 102, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1	91.7%