NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	3.4 [1075]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIN): +8.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): -9.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	16	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	19	51%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dan Langhi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oscar Torres	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terence Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.05	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	7	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	56%	0.11	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	79%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	58%	0.06	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.1	15.5	25.6	2.6	27.4	127.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.2%

MIN +3.4%

HOU -2.9%

MIN +15.2%

MIN +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	18.8	13.2	15.6	107.8	118.9	102.3
season	16.8	15.0		100.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.2		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	20.5	16.4	18.9	19.9	18.8
MIN	13.8	12.4	11.6	15.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Langhi	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-13	16	12.4	19.4	-7.06	13.4	13.2	0.20
Terence Morris	22	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	14.7	20.1	-5.47	13.1	13.2	-0.08
Eddie Griffin	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-13	16	16.9	20.2	-3.23	12.8	13.5	-0.60
Tierre Brown	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	16.5	20.3	-3.81	13.5	13.0	0.47
Kelvin Cato	39	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	20.1	17.8	2.28	13.3	13.1	0.24
Oscar Torres	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-1	-8	17.7	19.1	-1.37	11.8	13.5	-1.67
Walt Williams	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	20.1	15.8	4.33	13.3	12.8	0.54
Moochie Norris	62	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-6	2	19.3	17.7	1.59	13.0	13.5	-0.45
Kevin Willis	33	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	4	-18	19.8	18.2	1.54	13.3	13.2	0.11
Kenny Thomas	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	19.5	17.4	2.06	13.3	13.0	0.22
Cuttino Mobley	71	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	19.9	14.7	5.23	13.3	12.6	0.69

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-6	22	13.2	13.3	-0.13	20.1	14.7	5.41
Terrell Brandon	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	-5	20	12.8	14.0	-1.17	19.0	18.5	0.50
Anthony Peeler	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	8	-6	12.6	14.1	-1.47	16.9	22.0	-5.12
Joe Smith	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-2	14	13.2	13.1	0.08	20.2	17.1	3.08
Rasho Nesterovic	49	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.03	9	1	8	13.3	13.0	0.30	19.5	18.0	1.51
Wally Szczerbiak	74	75	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	5	0	13.4	12.4	0.91	18.7	19.3	-0.55
Felipe Lopez	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	4	2	14.4	12.7	1.68	20.4	18.2	2.20
Chauncey Billups	30	31	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	15	-20	14.0	12.8	1.17	18.5	19.0	-0.50
Gary Trent	19	19	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	10	-10	13.2	13.2	0.03	17.5	19.2	-1.63
Loren Woods	12	11	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.15	-4	14	-18	12.6	13.3	-0.70	14.5	19.4	-4.96
Dean Garrett	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	13.0	13.2	-0.20	7.7	19.3	-11.58
Sam Mitchell	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	12	-14	3.0	13.3	-10.30	22.0	18.8	3.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 93, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MEM 86, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DEN 83, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%