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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 74 Excitement1.5 [1259] MVPJoe Smith (MIN): +7.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 127 Comeback1.0 [1260] LVPTrenton Hassell (CHI): -5.8%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ron Mercer0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.011454%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Eddy Curry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01560%0.0000.00560%0.00
A.J. Guyton-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05667%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.05643%0.002-0.012100%0.01
Dalibor Bagaric-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.130.00-0.12735%-0.003-0.01650%-0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04460%-0.0130.0020%-0.02
Fred Hoiberg-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brad Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.05742%-0.012-0.01580%0.00
Charles Oakley-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03450%-0.013-0.0100%0.00
Marcus Fizer-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.04621%-0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Greg Anthony-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.100.00-0.04714%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Trenton Hassell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01460%-0.003-0.062100%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.011071%0.091-0.01475%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.090.000.05881%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Gary Trent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.021059%0.0200.00250%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.07979%0.031-0.011100%-0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.090.000.08592%0.0200.002100%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02560%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Loren Woods0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.004100%0.00
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.030.000.03467%-0.0000.0010%-0.00
Felipe Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01650%-0.0010.002100%-0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.09-0.000.09693%0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Terrell Brandon0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04964%0.001-0.014100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01837%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.828.215.623.31.727.4121.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +32.6%
MIN +3.2%
MIN +5.5%
MIN +7.6%
MIN +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMINNBACHIMINNBA
this game17.413.415.678.7136.6102.3
season15.615.096.3106.7
opponent16.115.6103.8105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI18.115.721.514.717.4
MIN14.013.111.814.713.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.J. Guyton2827-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-525114.618.5-3.9614.613.01.59
Dalibor Bagaric4040-0.02-0.480.450.39-14-392516.617.9-1.3514.212.91.31
Eddy Curry2424-0.14-0.360.220.12-9-443513.218.8-5.6213.013.6-0.64
Tyson Chandler4444-0.15-0.350.210.24-13-402715.618.9-3.3514.412.51.90
Fred Hoiberg3433-0.16-0.340.180.57-25-28317.617.20.4212.014.2-2.17
Trenton Hassell4545-0.16-0.340.180.31-16-372115.619.0-3.4014.412.61.79
Kevin Ollie4041-0.19-0.310.130.08-9-443514.919.2-4.3114.512.61.85
Greg Anthony4039-0.31-0.19-0.130.95-43-10-3321.314.46.8312.514.1-1.54
Brad Miller4442-0.33-0.17-0.170.57-31-22-919.015.93.1412.813.9-1.13
Charles Oakley4645-0.34-0.16-0.170.66-34-19-1518.816.02.8012.714.1-1.39
Marcus Fizer2930-0.34-0.16-0.180.42-26-27118.816.72.0413.113.6-0.54
Ron Mercer5655-0.36-0.14-0.210.93-44-9-3519.514.25.3212.914.1-1.19

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Smith52510.410.090.32-1.115215112.214.9-2.6819.914.35.53
Kevin Garnett54540.410.090.32-0.884493512.414.9-2.4818.615.72.87
Terrell Brandon46450.410.090.32-1.004854311.715.1-3.3919.315.63.72
Wally Szczerbiak42400.400.100.30-1.075034711.615.0-3.3920.115.34.87
Rasho Nesterovic45440.390.110.28-0.964673911.715.0-3.2919.415.63.78
Sam Mitchell30320.170.33-0.16-0.09944-3513.313.5-0.2413.619.3-5.74
Anthony Peeler32330.100.40-0.30-0.05548-4316.012.13.9216.218.0-1.80
Chauncey Billups47490.090.41-0.32-0.05548-4315.111.73.3915.619.3-3.72
Loren Woods33350.090.41-0.330.15-255-5714.412.91.4513.819.5-5.70
Dean Garrett15150.020.48-0.46-0.24944-3516.512.83.6219.816.92.91
Gary Trent37380.010.49-0.490.09-356-5915.312.23.0614.419.3-4.92
Felipe Lopez32340.000.50-0.49-0.05251-4915.012.62.3916.317.9-1.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 78, LAC 1090.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.4%
OKC 87, MIN 1290.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%
ATL 95, DET 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.1%