NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	123		Excitement	13.2 [6]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +25.9%
Orlando Magic	119		Comeback	1.9 [241]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -37.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.26	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.46,0.26	0.10	0.17	0.01	23	67%	0.56	4	-0.30	2	50%	-0.06
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	-0.08	0.00	28	63%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	13	53%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.17,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	17	50%	-0.04	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Calvin Booth	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.12	-0.24	0.01	11	35%	-0.22	3	-0.15	4	100%	0.04

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.13	0.02	19	61%	0.22	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	78%	0.04	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	3	56%	0.01	1	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.07	-0.16	0.01	14	57%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.08,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.01	26	46%	0.06	4	-0.28	7	100%	0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.3	1.6	27.1	14.7	27.0	1.8	28.9	0.8	15.1	2.5	15.3	158.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +50.9%

ORL -62.9%

SEA +56.6%

SEA +3.8%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	ORL	NBA	SEA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.6	112.8	110.2	102.3
season	16.0	14.6		106.3	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.8		103.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SEA	15.7	16.7	16.4	19.5	21.8	17.4
ORL	13.1	14.0	15.5	15.5	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	92	92	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.39	13	-9	22	17.4	17.1	0.24	14.9	13.7	1.16
Rashard Lewis	101	100	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.37	13	-9	22	17.3	18.0	-0.73	14.9	12.4	2.56
Desmond Mason	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	16.9	18.2	-1.34	15.1	13.9	1.18
Brent Barry	98	95	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	6	-8	17.9	11.8	6.12	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Vin Baker	92	92	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.19	2	2	0	17.7	15.2	2.54	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Jerome James	7	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	3	-2	13.3	17.6	-4.31	12.8	14.9	-2.14
Calvin Booth	31	32	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	9	-14	18.7	16.8	1.90	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Vladimir Radmanovic	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	5	-6	19.8	17.2	2.66	10.9	15.0	-4.15
Art Long	27	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	15.2	18.0	-2.84	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Earl Watson	17	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	7	-10	15.3	17.7	-2.40	15.8	14.6	1.26

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	35	35	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-9	14	13.8	15.2	-1.35	17.5	17.2	0.33
Don Reid	4	4	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-7	10	20.0	14.5	5.46	18.5	17.3	1.22
Pat Garrity	45	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-7	10	14.4	15.0	-0.66	17.0	17.5	-0.52
Patrick Ewing	16	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-4	4	13.9	14.9	-0.94	16.4	17.5	-1.07
Monty Williams	27	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-5	6	16.3	14.2	2.02	18.4	17.0	1.49
Bo Outlaw	41	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	0	-4	14.8	14.7	0.06	15.9	18.2	-2.35
Horace Grant	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	2	-8	14.8	14.6	0.25	17.6	16.8	0.79
Grant Hill	91	89	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.32	-2	-2	0	14.5	16.1	-1.56	17.6	16.2	1.37
Troy Hudson	35	37	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	6	-16	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.6	18.2	-2.53
Tracy McGrady	99	102	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-1	-2	14.9	12.8	2.14	17.6	13.3	4.31
Darrell Armstrong	72	74	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	3	-10	14.6	14.9	-0.31	17.3	17.3	0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 103, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.58,0	87.6%
NYK 129, MIL 127	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.54,0.25,0.21,0.33,0.08,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.26,0	87.5%
BOS 88, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.17,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.16,0.42,0	86.9%