NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	7.0 [427]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +15.6%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	1.5 [877]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -20.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.01	18	56%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	9	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Art Long	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	6	29%	-0.09	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	0.01	18	41%	-0.12	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	11	48%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	12	56%	0.11	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.03	20	55%	0.11	4	-0.07	9	56%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	21	51%	0.11	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.00	11	24%	-0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.4	33.4	15.5	24.2	1.8	32.5	130.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.9%

SAC +1.3%

SAC +1.1%

SAC +2.4%

SAC +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.6	96.0	103.1	102.3
season	16.0	14.2		106.3	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.6	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	17.1	13.4	15.5	15.2	15.3
SAC	12.9	13.7	15.2	14.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	21	20	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.04	6	-12	18	13.4	15.7	-2.32	14.3	13.9	0.40
Rashard Lewis	42	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-3	0	16.2	14.6	1.63	13.3	14.4	-1.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	38	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-6	6	14.5	15.7	-1.26	14.3	13.7	0.63
Brent Barry	82	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.22	2	-8	10	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.7	15.7	-2.07
Calvin Booth	46	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	16.3	14.4	1.88	14.4	13.6	0.78
Vin Baker	66	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-4	2	16.1	13.6	2.47	13.8	14.4	-0.62
Jerome James	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-4	2	15.3	15.2	0.08	15.6	13.3	2.23
Art Long	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	4	-14	14.0	15.6	-1.59	13.6	14.1	-0.52
Desmond Mason	68	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	14.5	16.9	-2.36	14.3	13.2	1.13
Gary Payton	82	82	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.36	-15	9	-24	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.5	16.2	-2.71

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	86	88	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-1	8	14.3	11.5	2.83	15.5	13.5	2.02
Peja Stojakovic	93	94	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	3	0	14.1	12.0	2.09	15.1	17.2	-2.05
Hedo Turkoglu	44	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	14.2	13.8	0.49	15.4	15.2	0.22
Scot Pollard	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	14.3	13.4	0.87	16.5	12.6	3.93
Mike Bibby	81	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	0	6	13.6	15.6	-2.02	14.4	18.8	-4.44
Bobby Jackson	38	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.23	2	4	-2	13.9	14.0	-0.14	15.8	14.9	0.89
Doug Christie	68	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	2	2	13.8	14.4	-0.65	14.9	16.1	-1.18
Gerald Wallace	13	13	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	12.1	14.3	-2.19	13.1	15.6	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.83,0.95,0.85,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
NOP 92, MIL 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.3%
SAS 101, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.87,0.98,0.93,0.84,0.85,1	92.3%