inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 87 Excitement2.8 [1159] MVPMatt Bullard (HOU): +10.8%
Houston Rockets 114 Comeback1.1 [992] LVPKevin Garnett (MIN): -15.8%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.011067%0.0600.004100%0.01
William Avery0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.00-0.02964%0.0510.00771%-0.00
LaPhonso Ellis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.01567%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Sam Mitchell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03643%0.0200.002100%0.00
Reggie Slater0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.01075%0.0100.00475%0.01
Terrell Brandon-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02743%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06837%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01643%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Felipe Lopez-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02736%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.100.00-0.04714%-0.0510.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.18-0.00-0.031533%-0.075-0.093100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.01590%0.1100.0000%0.00
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01-0.06757%0.0810.0000%0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.031275%0.091-0.02875%-0.01
Walt Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.040.00-0.101146%0.0620.002100%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03450%0.0400.0000%0.00
Sean Colson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dan Langhi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.02650%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.021550%-0.003-0.022100%0.00
Steve Francis0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.031456%0.035-0.05450%-0.02
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0100%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Shandon Anderson0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01568%0.014-0.061292%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.428.417.623.11.828.6126.3
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +38.3%
MIN -2.1%
HOU +12.4%
HOU +0.8%
HOU +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINHOUNBAMINHOUNBA
this game13.715.015.586.1114.0100.9
season15.016.3102.9104.6
opponent14.915.9102.1101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN14.813.315.411.113.7
HOU11.318.014.616.615.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
William Avery4645-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-262511.715.3-3.5716.314.02.30
Rasho Nesterovic3939-0.05-0.450.40-0.02-1-262512.914.1-1.1615.414.70.67
Chauncey Billups4344-0.09-0.410.33-0.173-303312.514.6-2.0916.014.21.75
Sam Mitchell3940-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-211512.814.2-1.3317.113.63.50
LaPhonso Ellis4242-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-211512.314.6-2.3217.613.14.43
Dean Garrett2424-0.19-0.310.110.22-14-13-116.412.83.5615.814.71.04
Anthony Peeler3835-0.22-0.280.060.37-20-7-1316.112.23.9115.214.90.31
Reggie Slater3333-0.28-0.22-0.050.11-13-14113.513.8-0.3113.715.6-1.94
Felipe Lopez3132-0.31-0.19-0.130.15-16-11-513.413.8-0.4014.215.4-1.15
Kevin Garnett6462-0.32-0.18-0.140.27-20-7-1314.112.91.1313.417.6-4.24
Wally Szczerbiak6260-0.35-0.15-0.200.27-21-6-1514.212.81.3313.617.1-3.50
Terrell Brandon4444-0.36-0.14-0.220.23-20-7-1315.012.72.2913.116.5-3.33

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steve Francis71730.490.010.48-0.4231-43514.615.9-1.2614.910.54.38
Cuttino Mobley74740.370.130.24-0.342432114.616.2-1.5614.012.61.41
Matt Bullard51520.340.160.17-0.342341912.917.2-4.3615.112.22.91
Hakeem Olajuwon59610.330.170.160.011116-513.816.8-3.0214.013.20.73
Shandon Anderson70710.320.180.14-0.322251714.216.9-2.7613.813.20.61
Kelvin Cato33330.220.28-0.06-0.31189916.514.22.3114.613.21.40
Dan Langhi30300.180.32-0.140.03522-1716.914.22.7613.213.8-0.61
Walt Williams49490.160.34-0.170.05423-1917.212.94.3612.215.1-2.91
Moochie Norris40410.140.36-0.220.14027-2716.414.02.3711.914.9-3.01
Sean Colson15140.000.50-0.500.03-128-2914.915.0-0.0810.614.2-3.59
Carlos Rogers87-0.050.55-0.600.01-229-3117.714.82.996.714.2-7.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 83, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
WAS 94, MIA 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
DET 72, MIA 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.5%