NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	82		Excitement	6.0 [586]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +4.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	2.2 [757]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -19.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	78%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	16	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Glen Rice	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0.07,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	22	54%	0.01	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.09	0.01	11	46%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	59%	0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.03
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	24	48%	0.08	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	14	32%	-0.13	1	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	33.3	17.4	28.3	2.4	38.6	146.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.2%

NYK -12.5%

PHI +24.2%

NYK -5.7%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.5	91.1	100.0	100.9
season	16.4	15.7		99.2	101.4
opponent	15.5	16.1		97.1	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	16.9	17.1	17.7	16.7
PHI	16.9	14.4	14.8	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.13	-4	-3	-1	0.0	16.7	-16.69	1.0	15.6	-14.65
Felton Spencer	3	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-7	7	9.7	16.9	-7.26	21.7	15.2	6.56
Charlie Ward	36	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.7	17.3	-1.61	13.6	16.8	-3.28
Allan Houston	71	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.39	5	-12	17	16.4	17.6	-1.19	16.6	11.8	4.87
Othella Harrington	68	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	3	-13	16.7	16.7	-0.05	15.0	16.7	-1.62
Kurt Thomas	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-7	7	17.0	15.5	1.53	16.1	13.4	2.62
Mark Jackson	59	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	17.5	15.2	2.33	16.5	13.7	2.80
Glen Rice	58	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	1	-9	16.7	16.7	0.00	14.7	17.2	-2.51
Latrell Sprewell	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	0	-7	16.7	16.0	0.73	15.0	23.2	-8.18

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	80	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	15.1	19.0	-3.91	16.8	15.8	1.01
Aaron McKie	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-5	17	14.4	17.6	-3.22	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Eric Snow	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.35	2	5	-3	17.4	11.1	6.22	17.0	15.9	1.08
George Lynch	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.44	-3	10	-13	15.3	16.0	-0.76	16.9	16.0	0.93
Dikembe Mutombo	62	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	1	5	16.5	13.3	3.19	17.3	15.3	1.94
Tyrone Hill	61	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	5	-3	16.6	13.0	3.62	16.6	16.8	-0.15
Kevin Ollie	30	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	1	5	14.0	16.3	-2.29	15.1	17.5	-2.48
Matt Geiger	21	21	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	5	-3	13.0	16.2	-3.19	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Jumaine Jones	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	5	-3	8.8	16.0	-7.13	18.6	16.6	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.93,0.81,0.71,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 96, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.63,0.8,0.83,1	93.8%
NOP 84, IND 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.99,1,1	93.6%
ORL 100, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.95,0.81,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	93.5%